Adrián
Bernabé
CMSpain · Parma Calcio 1913
Player dossierSerie A
AdriánBernabé
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Parma Calcio 1913
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Spain
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 170 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Serie AReading the valuation
The market values Bernabé at €15M. Model A, which never saw Bernabé during training, estimates €7.5M: the market value is 99% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.99. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 55
- Minutes
- 4,027
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 50/55
- Min / app
- 73
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bernabé…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €15M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
91% this player69% midfielder median88th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €2.5M
- Sept 2019
- Peak
- €15M
- Oct 2024
- Model target
- €15M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 14
- 1 club change
May 2026: €15M, Parma Calcio 1913. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-09-25 | €2.5M | Manchester City U23 |
| 2020-04-08 | €2.3M | Manchester City U23 |
| 2021-12-29 | €1.8M | Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 2022-06-06 | €6M | Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 2022-12-22 | €6M | Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 2023-06-12 | €5.5M | Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 2023-12-27 | €7.5M | Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 2024-03-25 | €9M | Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 2024-06-03 | €12M | Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 2024-10-18 | €15M | Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 2024-12-18 | €15M | Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 2025-06-17 | €15M | Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 2025-12-23 | €15M | Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 2026-05-29 | €15M | Parma Calcio 1913 |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.690
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 75% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 83% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Bernabé appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ManciniCBAS Roma · Serie A€15M
- PinamontiCFUS Sassuolo · Serie A€15M
- MirandaLBBologna FC 1909 · Serie A€15M
- DovbykCFAS Roma · Serie A€15M
- HøjbjergDMOlympique Marseille · midfielders€15M
- BrandtAMBorussia Dortmund · midfielders€15M
- AursnesCMSL Benfica · midfielders€15M
- PalhinhaDMTottenham Hotspur · midfielders€15M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).