FairValue

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Élie

Youan

LWFrance · Hibernian FC

№ 465715Emerging €1.2M +0.03

Player dossierPremiership

ÉlieYouan

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Hibernian FC
League
Premiership
Nationality
France
Age
27
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
20 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Youan at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Youan during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 4% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.04. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.03A €1.2M▼ −0.75B €2.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
36
Minutes
1,688
Goals
6
Assists
3
Started
17/36
Min / app
47
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Youan…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €1.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Élie Youan's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 60th, Assists per 90 55th, Minutes, two years 36th, Starts 30th, Minutes, last 365 days 28th, European club minutes 65th60thGoals55thAssists36thMinutes30thStarts28thRecent65thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

6% this player0% attacker median65th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Jul 2019
Peak
€2M
May 2024
Model target
€1.2M
May 2026
Valuations
20
5 club changes
May 2026€1.2MHibernian FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.2M, Hibernian FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-07-25€250kFC Nantes
2019-12-19€800kFC Nantes
2020-04-08€725kFC Nantes
2020-12-28€750kFC St. Gallen 1879
2021-06-23€1MFC St. Gallen 1879
2022-01-03€1.5MFC St. Gallen 1879
2022-04-12€1.2MKV Mechelen
2022-05-26€1MKV Mechelen
2022-12-13€850kHibernian FC
2023-03-22€1MHibernian FC
2023-06-07€1MFC St. Gallen 1879
2023-09-22€1.2MHibernian FC
2023-12-05€1.5MHibernian FC
2024-03-20€1.7MHibernian FC
2024-05-30€2MHibernian FC
2024-12-03€1.8MHibernian FC
2025-06-17€1.5MHibernian FC
2025-10-08€1.3MHibernian FC
2025-12-10€1.2MHibernian FC
2026-05-20€1.2MHibernian FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.034

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premiership311 players · median €400k

Valued above 76% of the 311 Premiership players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Youan appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).