FairValue

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Richonell

Margaret

CFSuriname · Go Ahead Eagles

№ 465326Emerging €1.3M −0.75

Player dossierEredivisie

RichonellMargaret

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Go Ahead Eagles
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Suriname
Age
25
Height
191 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Margaret at €600k. Model A, which never saw Margaret during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 53% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.13. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.75A €1.3M▼ −1.96B €4.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
68
Minutes
4,132
Goals
8
Assists
10
Started
47/68
Min / app
61
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Margaret…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €600k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €600kModel A €1.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Richonell Margaret's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 29th, Assists per 90 75th, Minutes, two years 82nd, Starts 67th, Minutes, last 365 days 56th, European club minutes 66th29thGoals75thAssists82ndMinutes67thStarts56thRecent66thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

4,132 this player2,242 attacker median82nd percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Feb 2019
Peak
€700k
Mar 2025
Model target
€600k
May 2026
Valuations
15
4 club changes
May 2026€600kGo Ahead EaglesValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €600k, Go Ahead Eagles. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-02-06€100kVitesse Arnhem U21
2019-06-12€250kVitesse Arnhem U21
2020-06-29€250kAZ Alkmaar U21
2020-12-31€300kAZ Alkmaar U21
2022-01-12€300kTOP Oss
2022-06-23€250kTOP Oss
2023-07-04€200kRKC Waalwijk
2023-10-17€300kRKC Waalwijk
2023-12-15€300kRKC Waalwijk
2024-05-31€350kRKC Waalwijk
2024-12-17€500kRKC Waalwijk
2025-03-28€700kRKC Waalwijk
2025-05-28€700kRKC Waalwijk
2025-12-02€700kGo Ahead Eagles
2026-05-28€600kGo Ahead Eagles

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.754

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 28% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 19% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€600kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Margaret appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).