FairValue

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Domagoj

Vida

CBCroatia · AEK Athens

№ 46083Emerging €499k 0.00

Player dossierSuper League

DomagojVida

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
AEK Athens
League
Super League
Nationality
Croatia
Age
37
Height
184 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Vida at €500k. Model A, which never saw Vida during training, estimates €499k: the market value is level with that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.00. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €193k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ 0.00A €499k▲ +0.95B €193k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
41
Minutes
3,487
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
39/41
Min / app
85
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Vida…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €499k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Domagoj Vida's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 41st, Minutes, two years 62nd, Starts 84th, Minutes, last 365 days 34th, European club minutes 72nd18thGoals41stAssists62ndMinutes84thStarts34thRecent72ndEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

95% this player83% defender median84th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
May 2007
Peak
€12M
Jul 2018
Model target
€500k
Jun 2026
Valuations
49
5 club changes
Jun 2026€500kAEK AthensValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €500k, AEK Athens. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2007-05-31€500kNK Osijek
2007-10-04€450kNK Osijek
2008-01-07€600kNK Osijek
2008-04-27€850kNK Osijek
2008-10-09€1.2MNK Osijek
2009-02-22€1.2MNK Osijek
2009-09-28€1.2MNK Osijek
2010-01-28€3MNK Osijek
2010-08-26€3MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2011-01-12€2.5MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2011-06-29€1.8MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2011-08-29€2.5MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2012-02-29€3MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2012-09-30€4MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2013-06-17€5MDynamo Kyiv
2014-12-25€5.5MDynamo Kyiv
2015-06-07€7MDynamo Kyiv
2015-12-18€7.5MDynamo Kyiv
2016-06-01€7.5MDynamo Kyiv
2016-07-21€8.5MDynamo Kyiv
2017-01-03€9MDynamo Kyiv
2017-06-26€9MDynamo Kyiv
2018-04-11€8MBesiktas JK
2018-05-29€7MBesiktas JK
2018-07-16€12MBesiktas JK
2019-01-04€10MBesiktas JK
2019-06-04€10MBesiktas JK
2019-10-04€8MBesiktas JK
2020-01-03€8MBesiktas JK
2020-04-08€6.5MBesiktas JK
2020-08-04€6MBesiktas JK
2020-10-12€5MBesiktas JK
2020-12-23€4MBesiktas JK
2021-03-16€4MBesiktas JK
2021-05-28€4MBesiktas JK
2021-10-12€3.7MBesiktas JK
2022-01-04€3MBesiktas JK
2022-03-31€2.4MBesiktas JK
2022-06-01€1.9MBesiktas JK
2022-11-07€2MAEK Athens
2023-05-22€1.8MAEK Athens
2023-09-21€1.5MAEK Athens
2023-12-20€1.5MAEK Athens
2024-05-30€1.2MAEK Athens
2024-09-26€1MAEK Athens
2024-12-18€900kAEK Athens
2025-05-23€700kAEK Athens
2025-12-12€600kAEK Athens
2026-06-04€500kAEK Athens

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.002

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 43% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 19% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Vida appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).