FairValue

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Portrait of Andrea Cambiaso

Andrea

Cambiaso

LBItaly · Juventus FC

№ 459658Elite €24.6M −0.21

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

AndreaCambiaso

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Juventus FC
League
Serie A
Nationality
Italy
Age
26
Height
182 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Cambiaso at €20M. Model A, which never saw Cambiaso during training, estimates €24.6M: the market value is 19% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.23. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €31.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.21A €24.6M▼ −0.45B €31.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
93
Minutes
6,763
Goals
5
Assists
11
Started
79/93
Min / app
73
Cards
11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cambiaso…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €20M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €20MModel A €24.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Andrea Cambiaso's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 73rd, Assists per 90 87th, Minutes, two years 97th, Starts 55th, Minutes, last 365 days 98th, European club minutes 86th73rdGoals87thAssists97thMinutes55thStarts98thRecent86thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,867 this player1,687 defender median98th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Dec 2017
Peak
€40M
Dec 2024
Model target
€20M
May 2026
Valuations
24
7 club changes
May 2026€20MJuventus FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €20M, Juventus FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-12-30€75kASD Albissola 2010
2018-06-26€75kASD Albissola 2010
2019-02-05€100kSavona FBC
2019-06-21€100kSavona FBC
2019-12-16€175kUS Alessandria Calcio 1912
2020-06-30€150kGenoa CFC
2021-02-22€150kEmpoli FC
2021-06-24€200kEmpoli FC
2021-10-14€3MGenoa CFC
2021-12-28€3.5MGenoa CFC
2022-03-15€5MGenoa CFC
2022-06-07€5MGenoa CFC
2022-09-27€6.5MBologna FC 1909
2022-11-11€6.5MBologna FC 1909
2023-06-15€8MBologna FC 1909
2023-10-11€10MJuventus FC
2023-12-20€15MJuventus FC
2024-03-12€25MJuventus FC
2024-06-05€25MJuventus FC
2024-10-18€30MJuventus FC
2024-12-18€40MJuventus FC
2025-06-17€35MJuventus FC
2025-12-23€30MJuventus FC
2026-05-29€20MJuventus FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.209

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 82% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 91% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Cambiaso appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).