FairValue

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Benhur

Keser

RWTürkiye · Erzurumspor FK

№ 458588Emerging €291k +0.88

Player dossierSüper Lig

BenhurKeser

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Erzurumspor FK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
29
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Keser at €700k. Model A, which never saw Keser during training, estimates €291k: the market value is 140% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.40. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €575k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.88A €291k▲ +0.20B €575k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
13
Minutes
605
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
7/13
Min / app
47
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Keser…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €291k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Benhur Keser's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 3rd, Assists per 90 6th, Minutes, two years 6th, Starts 41st, Minutes, last 365 days 1st, European club minutes 28th3rdGoals6thAssists6thMinutes41stStarts1stRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

54% this player59% attacker median41st percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Jul 2018
Peak
€1.4M
Sept 2023
Model target
€700k
Dec 2025
Valuations
20
5 club changes
Dec 2025€700kErzurumspor FKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €700k, Erzurumspor FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-07-04€75kBayrampasa Spor
2019-12-30€75kBandirmaspor
2020-08-27€100kBandirmaspor
2021-01-18€150kKocaelispor
2021-05-31€200kKocaelispor
2022-01-17€400kKocaelispor
2022-06-10€325kKocaelispor
2022-11-15€375kCaykur Rizespor
2023-04-03€500kCaykur Rizespor
2023-06-23€900kCaykur Rizespor
2023-09-27€1.4MCaykur Rizespor
2023-12-21€1.4MCaykur Rizespor
2024-03-15€1.3MCaykur Rizespor
2024-05-31€1.2MCaykur Rizespor
2024-10-04€1MCaykur Rizespor
2024-12-23€750kCaykur Rizespor
2025-04-02€700kEsenler Erokspor
2025-06-25€650kEsenler Erokspor
2025-10-08€700kErzurumspor FK
2025-12-29€700kErzurumspor FK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.877

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 29% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 22% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Keser appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).