FairValue

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Nenê

CFBrazil · Avs Futebol

№ 45717Emerging €93k −0.62

Player dossierLiga Portugal

Nenê

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Avs Futebol
League
Liga Portugal
Nationality
Brazil
Age
42
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Nenê at €50k. Model A, which never saw Nenê during training, estimates €93k: the market value is 46% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.86. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €121k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.62A €93k▼ −0.89B €121k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
39
Minutes
1,214
Goals
8
Assists
2
Started
9/39
Min / app
31
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Nenê…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €50k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €50kModel A €93k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Nenê's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 94th, Assists per 90 51st, Minutes, two years 25th, Starts 5th, Minutes, last 365 days 9th, European club minutes 28th94thGoals51stAssists25thMinutes5thStarts9thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.59 this player0.26 attacker median94th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€800k
Oct 2007
Peak
€6M
Aug 2009
Model target
€50k
May 2026
Valuations
39
9 club changes
May 2026€50kAvs FutebolValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €50k, Avs Futebol. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2007-10-04€800kCruzeiro Esporte Clube
2008-06-26€50kCruzeiro Esporte Clube
2008-10-23€900kCD Nacional
2009-02-01€2MCD Nacional
2009-07-02€5.7MCagliari Calcio
2009-08-06€6MCagliari Calcio
2010-06-30€5.7MCagliari Calcio
2011-01-05€5.5MCagliari Calcio
2011-06-21€4.7MCagliari Calcio
2012-01-11€3.5MCagliari Calcio
2012-06-07€2.8MCagliari Calcio
2013-01-14€2.5MCagliari Calcio
2013-06-19€1.8MCagliari Calcio
2014-01-07€1.4MCagliari Calcio
2014-07-01€1.2MCagliari Calcio
2015-01-07€700kHellas Verona
2015-06-29€400kSpezia Calcio
2015-12-28€350kSpezia Calcio
2016-06-13€350kSpezia Calcio
2016-12-19€300kSpezia Calcio
2017-06-09€200kSpezia Calcio
2017-12-21€150kFC Bari 1908
2018-06-18€250kFC Bari 1908
2019-01-11€200kMoreirense FC
2019-06-07€200kMoreirense FC
2019-12-30€200kMoreirense FC
2020-08-17€100kMoreirense FC
2020-11-02€75kLeixões SC
2021-06-29€50kLeixões SC
2022-04-01€50kUD Vilafranquense
2022-06-27€25kUD Vilafranquense
2022-12-28€25kUD Vilafranquense
2023-06-28€25kUD Vilafranquense
2023-12-14€50kAvs Futebol
2024-06-20€50kAvs Futebol
2024-12-19€50kAvs Futebol
2025-05-30€50kAvs Futebol
2025-12-18€50kAvs Futebol
2026-05-28€50kAvs Futebol

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.622

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M

Valued above 0% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€50kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 0% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€50kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Nenê appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).