Tanguy
Ndombélé
CMFrance · OGC Nice
Player dossierLigue 1
TanguyNdombélé
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- OGC Nice
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- France
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 181 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Ndombélé at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Ndombélé during training, estimates €2.8M: the market value is 9% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 33
- Minutes
- 1,733
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 18/33
- Min / app
- 53
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ndombélé…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
19% this player0% midfielder median82nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €400k
- Mar 2017
- Peak
- €65M
- Jun 2019
- Model target
- €2.5M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 32
- 6 club changes
Jun 2026: €2.5M, OGC Nice. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2017-03-20 | €400k | Amiens SC |
| 2017-06-15 | €1M | Amiens SC |
| 2017-10-12 | €5M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2018-01-24 | €15M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2018-06-04 | €25M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2018-10-24 | €35M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2018-12-17 | €45M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2019-03-07 | €50M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2019-06-03 | €65M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2019-12-10 | €65M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2020-04-08 | €52M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2020-07-30 | €45M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2020-10-13 | €40M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2020-12-17 | €45M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2021-03-18 | €50M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2021-06-08 | €50M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2021-10-05 | €45M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2021-12-23 | €38M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2022-03-23 | €35M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2022-05-30 | €30M | Olympique Lyon |
| 2022-11-11 | €28M | SSC Napoli |
| 2023-03-21 | €25M | SSC Napoli |
| 2023-06-15 | €22M | SSC Napoli |
| 2023-09-27 | €21M | Galatasaray |
| 2023-12-21 | €15M | Galatasaray |
| 2024-03-15 | €11M | Galatasaray |
| 2024-05-31 | €8M | Galatasaray |
| 2024-12-10 | €10M | OGC Nice |
| 2025-06-03 | €7M | OGC Nice |
| 2025-10-10 | €4M | OGC Nice |
| 2025-12-15 | €3M | OGC Nice |
| 2026-06-01 | €2.5M | OGC Nice |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.098
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 24% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ndombélé appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- AubameyangCFOlympique Marseille · Ligue 1€2.5M
- GraditCBRC Lens · Ligue 1€2.5M
- MvogoGKFC Lorient · Ligue 1€2.5M
- TouréDMLe Havre AC · Ligue 1€2.5M
- EriksenAMVfL Wolfsburg · midfielders€2.5M
- GroßCMBrighton & Hove Albion · midfielders€2.5M
- BuyalskyiAMDynamo Kyiv · midfielders€2.5M
- LazaroRMTorino FC · midfielders€2.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).