FairValue

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Portrait of Jean-Ricner Bellegarde

Jean-Ricner

Bellegarde

CMHaiti · Wolverhampton Wanderers

№ 450050Elite €10.4M +0.43

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

Jean-RicnerBellegarde

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Wolverhampton Wanderers
League
Premier League
Nationality
Haiti
Age
27
Height
170 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bellegarde at €16M. Model A, which never saw Bellegarde during training, estimates €10.4M: the market value is 54% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.54. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.43A €10.4M▲ +1.67B €3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
70
Minutes
3,382
Goals
3
Assists
8
Started
40/70
Min / app
48
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bellegarde…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €16M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €16MModel A €10.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Jean-Ricner Bellegarde's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 49th, Assists per 90 86th, Minutes, two years 64th, Starts 31st, Minutes, last 365 days 49th, European club minutes 30th49thGoals86thAssists64thMinutes31stStarts49thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.21 this player0.09 midfielder median86th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€400k
Mar 2017
Peak
€18M
Oct 2024
Model target
€16M
Jun 2026
Valuations
25
2 club changes
Jun 2026€16MWolverhampton WanderersValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €16M, Wolverhampton Wanderers. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-03-20€400kRC Lens
2017-06-15€400kRC Lens
2018-05-16€1MRC Lens
2019-01-08€1MRC Lens
2019-06-27€1.5MRC Lens
2019-09-27€2.5MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2019-12-19€4MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2020-04-08€3.6MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2020-10-15€4MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2021-01-07€5MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2021-04-09€6MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2021-06-04€5.5MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2021-12-16€6MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2022-05-30€8MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2022-11-02€8MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2023-03-27€10MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2023-06-27€10MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2023-10-09€15MWolverhampton Wanderers
2023-12-19€15MWolverhampton Wanderers
2024-05-27€15MWolverhampton Wanderers
2024-10-01€18MWolverhampton Wanderers
2024-12-16€18MWolverhampton Wanderers
2025-05-30€18MWolverhampton Wanderers
2025-12-09€16MWolverhampton Wanderers
2026-06-03€16MWolverhampton Wanderers

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.429

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 46% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€16MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 86% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€16MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bellegarde appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).