FairValue

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Sydney van

Hooijdonk

CFNetherlands · CF Estrela Amadora

№ 439292Emerging €985k +0.01

Player dossierLiga Portugal

Sydney vanHooijdonk

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
CF Estrela Amadora
League
Liga Portugal
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
26
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Hooijdonk at €1M. Model A, which never saw Hooijdonk during training, estimates €985k: the market value is 1% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.01A €985k▼ −0.31B €1.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
48
Minutes
2,792
Goals
7
Assists
2
Started
32/48
Min / app
58
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Hooijdonk…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €985k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Sydney van Hooijdonk's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 43rd, Assists per 90 20th, Minutes, two years 63rd, Starts 63rd, Minutes, last 365 days 62nd, European club minutes 28th43rdGoals20thAssists63rdMinutes63rdStarts62ndRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

67% this player59% attacker median63rd percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Oct 2018
Peak
€6M
Jun 2023
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
21
7 club changes
May 2026€1MCF Estrela AmadoraValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, CF Estrela Amadora. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-10-04€100kNAC Breda
2018-12-28€150kNAC Breda
2019-06-12€200kNAC Breda
2020-01-17€250kNAC Breda
2020-06-29€275kNAC Breda
2020-10-24€400kNAC Breda
2020-12-31€500kNAC Breda
2021-10-14€800kBologna FC 1909
2021-12-28€800kBologna FC 1909
2022-06-08€1.3MSC Heerenveen
2022-09-14€2.3MSC Heerenveen
2022-11-11€3MSC Heerenveen
2023-06-23€6MSC Heerenveen
2023-12-20€5MBologna FC 1909
2024-05-24€4MNorwich City
2024-10-15€2.5MCesena FC
2024-12-23€1.7MCesena FC
2025-03-28€1.3MNAC Breda
2025-05-28€1MNAC Breda
2025-12-02€1.3MNAC Breda
2026-05-28€1MCF Estrela Amadora

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.015

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M

Valued above 42% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 29% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Hooijdonk appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).