FairValue

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Marcos

López

LBPeru · FC Copenhagen

№ 432175Established €2.8M +0.35

Player dossierSuperliga

MarcosLópez

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
FC Copenhagen
League
Superliga
Nationality
Peru
Age
26
Height
176 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values López at €4M. Model A, which never saw López during training, estimates €2.8M: the market value is 42% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.42. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.7M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.35A €2.8M▼ −0.17B €4.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
56
Minutes
4,287
Goals
1
Assists
7
Started
49/56
Min / app
77
Cards
6Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for López…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €4MModel A €2.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Marcos López's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 41st, Assists per 90 88th, Minutes, two years 74th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 85th, European club minutes 92nd41stGoals88thAssists74thMinutes62ndStarts85thRecent92ndEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

27% this player0% defender median92nd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Dec 2016
Peak
€4M
Jun 2023
Model target
€4M
May 2026
Valuations
22
4 club changes
May 2026€4MFC CopenhagenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €4M, FC Copenhagen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-12-13€75kUniversidad San Martín de Porres
2017-06-22€75kUniversidad San Martín de Porres
2017-12-29€75kClub Sporting Cristal
2019-03-20€250kSan Jose Earthquakes
2019-05-27€250kSan Jose Earthquakes
2019-11-30€400kSan Jose Earthquakes
2020-04-08€350kSan Jose Earthquakes
2020-08-26€350kSan Jose Earthquakes
2020-12-18€1MSan Jose Earthquakes
2021-06-11€1MSan Jose Earthquakes
2021-07-09€1.8MSan Jose Earthquakes
2021-11-09€1.8MSan Jose Earthquakes
2022-09-14€2MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2022-11-11€2.5MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2023-06-23€4MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2023-12-15€4MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2024-03-18€3MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2024-05-31€3MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2024-12-09€2.5MFC Copenhagen
2025-06-16€2.5MFC Copenhagen
2025-12-15€3.5MFC Copenhagen
2026-05-25€4MFC Copenhagen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.353

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 89% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 65% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€4MSee them in the Explorer →

Where López appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).