FairValue

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Vladimir

Khubulov

LWRussia · Krylya Sovetov Samara

№ 430484Emerging €577k −0.37

Player dossierPremier Liga

VladimirKhubulov

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Krylya Sovetov Samara
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
25
Height
179 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Khubulov at €400k. Model A, which never saw Khubulov during training, estimates €577k: the market value is 31% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.44. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.37A €577k▼ −1.15B €1.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
38
Minutes
1,520
Goals
6
Assists
0
Started
15/38
Min / app
40
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Khubulov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €577k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Vladimir Khubulov's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 68th, Assists per 90 6th, Minutes, two years 32nd, Starts 21st, Minutes, last 365 days 6th, European club minutes 28th68thGoals6thAssists32ndMinutes21stStarts6thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.36 this player0.26 attacker median68th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jun 2017
Peak
€600k
Oct 2023
Model target
€400k
May 2026
Valuations
20
8 club changes
May 2026€400kKrylya Sovetov SamaraValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €400k, Krylya Sovetov Samara. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-06-01€50kDYuSSh Spartak Vladikavkaz (-2020)
2018-09-20€125kAkhmat Grozny II
2018-12-20€125kAkhmat Grozny II
2019-06-14€150kAkhmat Grozny II
2019-12-23€125kZenit St. Petersburg II
2020-06-29€100kZenit St. Petersburg II
2020-12-29€150kAlania Vladikavkaz
2021-04-12€225kAlania Vladikavkaz
2021-05-24€250kAlania Vladikavkaz
2021-12-07€300kAlania Vladikavkaz
2022-05-30€500kAlania Vladikavkaz
2022-11-21€500kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2023-06-14€450kFC Khimki
2023-10-05€600kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2023-12-13€500kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2024-06-04€500kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2024-12-12€600kAkron Tolyatti
2025-06-04€600kAkron Tolyatti
2025-12-16€500kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2026-05-26€400kKrylya Sovetov Samara

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.366

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 10% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 11% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Khubulov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).