FairValue

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Oleksandr

Filippov

CFUkraine · Polissya Zhytomyr

№ 237623Emerging €648k −0.48

Player dossierPremier Liha

OleksandrFilippov

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Polissya Zhytomyr
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
33
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Filippov at €400k. Model A, which never saw Filippov during training, estimates €648k: the market value is 38% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.62. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.48A €648k▼ −1.12B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
57
Minutes
3,431
Goals
15
Assists
5
Started
41/57
Min / app
60
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Filippov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €648k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Oleksandr Filippov's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 76th, Assists per 90 44th, Minutes, two years 73rd, Starts 71st, Minutes, last 365 days 47th, European club minutes 71st76thGoals44thAssists73rdMinutes71stStarts47thRecent71stEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.39 this player0.26 attacker median76th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Mar 2014
Peak
€1.3M
Sept 2020
Model target
€400k
Jun 2026
Valuations
27
8 club changes
Jun 2026€400kPolissya ZhytomyrValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €400k, Polissya Zhytomyr. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-03-28€100kIllichivets Mariupol
2014-06-30€200kIllichivets Mariupol
2014-12-25€100kIllichivets Mariupol
2015-09-26€100kAvangard Kramatorsk
2017-02-09€200kDesna Chernigiv
2018-01-04€250kDesna Chernigiv
2018-08-06€400kDesna Chernigiv
2018-12-10€600kDesna Chernigiv
2019-06-20€700kDesna Chernigiv
2020-01-08€1MDesna Chernigiv
2020-04-08€800kDesna Chernigiv
2020-09-04€1.3MDesna Chernigiv
2020-10-16€1.3MSint-Truidense VV
2021-03-17€900kSint-Truidense VV
2021-06-07€750kSint-Truidense VV
2021-10-06€600kSint-Truidense VV
2022-01-06€400kSint-Truidense VV
2022-06-13€350kRiga FC
2022-11-23€250kRiga FC
2023-06-09€200kSint-Truidense VV
2023-12-11€400kSC Dnipro-1
2024-03-18€500kSC Dnipro-1
2024-06-06€500kSC Dnipro-1
2024-12-17€500kFC Oleksandriya
2025-06-10€500kFC Oleksandriya
2025-12-18€500kPolissya Zhytomyr
2026-06-02€400kPolissya Zhytomyr

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.483

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 40% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 11% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Filippov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).