FairValue

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Tiago

Djaló

CBPortugal · Besiktas JK

№ 420465Established €6.8M +0.03

Player dossierSüper Lig

TiagoDjaló

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Besiktas JK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Portugal
Age
26
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Djaló at €7M. Model A, which never saw Djaló during training, estimates €6.8M: the market value is 3% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.03. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.03A €6.8M▲ +0.47B €4.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
34
Minutes
2,602
Goals
3
Assists
0
Started
28/34
Min / app
77
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Djaló…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €7M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €7MModel A €6.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Tiago Djaló's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 88th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 45th, Starts 50th, Minutes, last 365 days 43rd, European club minutes 85th88thGoals17thAssists45thMinutes50thStarts43rdRecent85thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.10 this player0.03 defender median88th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Jun 2018
Peak
€16M
Mar 2023
Model target
€7M
May 2026
Valuations
20
5 club changes
May 2026€7MBesiktas JKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €7M, Besiktas JK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-06-25€200kSporting CP U19
2019-06-17€175kMilan Primavera
2019-09-27€3MLOSC Lille
2019-12-19€5MLOSC Lille
2020-04-08€4.5MLOSC Lille
2020-10-15€4.5MLOSC Lille
2021-06-04€5MLOSC Lille
2021-12-16€10MLOSC Lille
2022-03-23€12MLOSC Lille
2022-05-30€12MLOSC Lille
2022-11-02€12MLOSC Lille
2023-03-27€16MLOSC Lille
2023-06-27€16MLOSC Lille
2023-12-18€15MLOSC Lille
2024-06-05€12MJuventus FC
2024-12-19€12MFC Porto
2025-03-31€10MFC Porto
2025-05-30€8MFC Porto
2025-12-17€7MBesiktas JK
2026-05-21€7MBesiktas JK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.032

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 87% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 76% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Djaló appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).