FairValue

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Jerome

Opoku

CBGhana · Basaksehir FK

№ 408563Established €6M −0.18

Player dossierSüper Lig

JeromeOpoku

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Basaksehir FK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Ghana
Age
27
Height
197 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Opoku at €5M. Model A, which never saw Opoku during training, estimates €6M: the market value is 17% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.20. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €13M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.18A €6M▼ −0.95B €13M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
73
Minutes
5,982
Goals
3
Assists
6
Started
67/73
Min / app
82
Cards
19Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Opoku…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €5MModel A €6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Jerome Opoku's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 61st, Assists per 90 74th, Minutes, two years 92nd, Starts 75th, Minutes, last 365 days 90th, European club minutes 71st61stGoals74thAssists92ndMinutes75thStarts90thRecent71stEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,982 this player2,860 defender median92nd percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Jun 2021
Peak
€5M
Jun 2025
Model target
€5M
May 2026
Valuations
16
3 club changes
May 2026€5MBasaksehir FKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €5M, Basaksehir FK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-06-08€500kFC Fulham U23
2021-10-06€450kVejle Boldklub
2021-12-28€400kVejle Boldklub
2022-06-20€400kVejle Boldklub
2022-11-01€700kFC Arouca
2023-06-16€1.5MFC Arouca
2023-09-27€1.5MBasaksehir FK
2023-12-21€1.5MBasaksehir FK
2024-03-15€1.7MBasaksehir FK
2024-05-31€2MBasaksehir FK
2024-10-04€2.6MBasaksehir FK
2024-12-23€2.9MBasaksehir FK
2025-03-20€3MBasaksehir FK
2025-06-18€5MBasaksehir FK
2025-12-17€5MBasaksehir FK
2026-05-21€5MBasaksehir FK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.181

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 81% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 70% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Opoku appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).