Can
Bozdogan
CMGermany · FC Utrecht
Player dossierEredivisie
CanBozdogan
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- FC Utrecht
- League
- Eredivisie
- Nationality
- Germany
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 174 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
EredivisieReading the valuation
The market values Bozdogan at €2M. Model A, which never saw Bozdogan during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 54% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.54. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.9M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 36
- Minutes
- 1,353
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 14/36
- Min / app
- 38
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bozdogan…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
20% this player0% midfielder median84th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €1M
- Jul 2020
- Peak
- €5M
- Dec 2023
- Model target
- €2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 17
- 2 club changes
May 2026: €2M, FC Utrecht. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-07-08 | €1M | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2020-09-16 | €1.5M | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2020-11-26 | €2.5M | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2021-02-10 | €2.5M | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2021-06-09 | €2.5M | FC Schalke 04 |
| 2021-10-12 | €2.7M | Besiktas JK |
| 2022-01-04 | €3.1M | Besiktas JK |
| 2022-03-31 | €4M | Besiktas JK |
| 2022-06-01 | €4.3M | Besiktas JK |
| 2022-11-11 | €4M | FC Utrecht |
| 2023-06-23 | €4.5M | FC Utrecht |
| 2023-12-15 | €5M | FC Utrecht |
| 2024-05-31 | €4.5M | FC Utrecht |
| 2024-12-17 | €4.5M | FC Utrecht |
| 2025-05-28 | €3.5M | FC Utrecht |
| 2025-12-02 | €2.5M | FC Utrecht |
| 2026-05-28 | €2M | FC Utrecht |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.434
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Eredivisie425 players · median €1M
Valued above 62% of the 425 Eredivisie players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 46% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Bozdogan appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BerghuisRWAjax Amsterdam · Eredivisie€2M
- KlaassenCMAjax Amsterdam · Eredivisie€2M
- OlijGKPSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie€2M
- WeghorstCFAjax Amsterdam · Eredivisie€2M
- GündoğanCMGalatasaray · midfielders€2M
- GudeljDMSevilla FC · midfielders€2M
- HazardAMRSC Anderlecht · midfielders€2M
- McGregorDMCeltic FC · midfielders€2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).