Milan
Badelj
DMCroatia · Genoa CFC
Player dossierSerie A
MilanBadelj
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Genoa CFC
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Croatia
- Age
- 36
- Height
- 186 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 17 Jun 2025
Serie AReading the valuation
The market values Badelj at €800k. Model A, which never saw Badelj during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 26% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.35. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €356k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 60
- Minutes
- 4,336
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 56/60
- Min / app
- 72
- Cards
- 10Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Badelj…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
93% this player69% midfielder median91st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Oct 2006
- Peak
- €15M
- Jun 2018
- Model target
- €800k
- Jun 2025
- Valuations
- 42
- 5 club changes
Jun 2025: €800k, Genoa CFC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2006-10-06 | €100k | GNK Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2008-09-15 | €1M | GNK Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2009-02-08 | €1.6M | GNK Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2009-10-05 | €2M | GNK Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2010-01-28 | €3M | GNK Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2010-09-13 | €4M | GNK Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2011-02-13 | €5M | GNK Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2011-08-29 | €6.5M | GNK Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2012-02-29 | €4.5M | GNK Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2012-09-02 | €5.5M | Hamburger SV |
| 2012-10-23 | €6.5M | Hamburger SV |
| 2013-01-13 | €7.5M | Hamburger SV |
| 2013-06-30 | €7.5M | Hamburger SV |
| 2014-02-12 | €5M | Hamburger SV |
| 2014-07-10 | €5M | Hamburger SV |
| 2015-01-07 | €3.8M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2015-07-01 | €3.8M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2015-11-05 | €4.5M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2016-01-04 | €7M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2016-06-01 | €8M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2016-07-15 | €10M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2017-01-02 | €11M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2017-06-08 | €11M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2017-12-29 | €13M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2018-06-07 | €15M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2018-12-20 | €13M | SS Lazio |
| 2019-06-06 | €9M | SS Lazio |
| 2019-10-08 | €5M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2019-12-12 | €5M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2020-03-03 | €3M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2020-04-08 | €2.4M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2020-08-25 | €2M | ACF Fiorentina |
| 2020-12-29 | €1.5M | Genoa CFC |
| 2021-05-28 | €2M | Genoa CFC |
| 2021-12-28 | €1.5M | Genoa CFC |
| 2022-06-07 | €1M | Genoa CFC |
| 2022-12-22 | €800k | Genoa CFC |
| 2023-06-12 | €800k | Genoa CFC |
| 2023-12-20 | €800k | Genoa CFC |
| 2024-06-05 | €800k | Genoa CFC |
| 2024-12-18 | €800k | Genoa CFC |
| 2025-06-17 | €800k | Genoa CFC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.299
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 4% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 27% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Badelj appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- CuadradoRMPisa Sporting Club · Serie A€800k
- CaraccioloCBPisa Sporting Club · Serie A€800k
- BianchettiCBUS Cremonese · Serie A€800k
- SportielloGKAtalanta BC · Serie A€800k
- DjuricicAMPanathinaikos · midfielders€800k
- ClasieDMAZ Alkmaar · midfielders€800k
- MantalosAMAEK Athens · midfielders€800k
- JønssonDMAEK Athens · midfielders€800k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).