FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Roshon van

Eijma

CBCuracao · RKC Waalwijk

№ 401029Emerging €437k −0.15

Player dossierEredivisie

Roshon vanEijma

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
RKC Waalwijk
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Curacao
Age
27
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
16 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Eijma at €375k. Model A, which never saw Eijma during training, estimates €437k: the market value is 14% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.16. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €761k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.15A €437k▼ −0.71B €761k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
28
Minutes
2,085
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
25/28
Min / app
74
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Eijma…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €375k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €375kModel A €437k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Roshon van Eijma's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 52nd, Minutes, two years 36th, Starts 67th, Minutes, last 365 days 19th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals52ndAssists36thMinutes67thStarts19thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

89% this player83% defender median67th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Jan 2019
Peak
€500k
Dec 2024
Model target
€375k
Dec 2025
Valuations
17
3 club changes
Dec 2025€375kRKC WaalwijkValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €375k, RKC Waalwijk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-01-21€200kRoda JC Kerkrade
2019-07-03€225kRoda JC Kerkrade
2020-09-07€175kPreußen Münster
2021-01-05€100kPreußen Münster
2021-06-26€100kPreußen Münster
2022-01-12€100kTOP Oss
2022-03-24€125kTOP Oss
2022-06-23€125kTOP Oss
2022-10-12€225kTOP Oss
2023-04-03€300kTOP Oss
2023-07-04€300kTOP Oss
2024-01-08€300kTOP Oss
2024-06-10€350kTOP Oss
2024-10-14€450kRKC Waalwijk
2024-12-17€500kRKC Waalwijk
2025-05-28€450kRKC Waalwijk
2025-12-16€375kRKC Waalwijk

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.152

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 17% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€375kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 14% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€375kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Eijma appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).