Felix
Bacher
Player dossierLiga Portugal
FelixBacher
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- GD Estoril Praia
- League
- Liga Portugal
- Nationality
- Austria
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 190 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Bacher at €6M. Model A, which never saw Bacher during training, estimates €2.9M: the market value is 106% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.06. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 57
- Minutes
- 5,130
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 57/57
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 10Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bacher…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player83% defender median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jul 2018
- Peak
- €6M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €6M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 20
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €6M, GD Estoril Praia. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-07-02 | €50k | FC Wacker Innsbruck II |
| 2018-12-01 | €100k | FC Wacker Innsbruck II |
| 2019-06-01 | €200k | FC Wacker Innsbruck II |
| 2019-12-03 | €250k | FC Wacker Innsbruck |
| 2020-02-06 | €250k | SC Freiburg II |
| 2020-09-15 | €200k | SC Freiburg II |
| 2021-02-15 | €200k | SC Freiburg II |
| 2021-06-30 | €200k | SC Freiburg II |
| 2021-12-16 | €200k | WSG Tirol |
| 2022-05-27 | €300k | WSG Tirol |
| 2022-11-10 | €300k | WSG Tirol |
| 2023-06-12 | €400k | WSG Tirol |
| 2023-12-11 | €450k | WSG Tirol |
| 2024-05-21 | €500k | WSG Tirol |
| 2024-12-19 | €500k | GD Estoril Praia |
| 2025-03-31 | €1M | GD Estoril Praia |
| 2025-05-30 | €2M | GD Estoril Praia |
| 2025-12-18 | €2M | GD Estoril Praia |
| 2026-03-19 | €4M | GD Estoril Praia |
| 2026-05-28 | €6M | GD Estoril Praia |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.720
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M
Valued above 80% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 73% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Bacher appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- NiakatéCBSC Braga · Liga Portugal€6M
- TravassosRBMoreirense FC · Liga Portugal€6M
- EstevesAMGil Vicente FC · Liga Portugal€6M
- LeloLBSC Braga · Liga Portugal€6M
- RüdigerCBReal Madrid · defenders€6M
- DigneLBAston Villa · defenders€6M
- RomagnoliCBSS Lazio · defenders€6M
- PoschCB1.FSV Mainz 05 · defenders€6M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).

