FairValue

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Aleksandr

Soldatenkov

CBRussia · FC Sochi

№ 393858Established €1.2M +0.47

Player dossierPremier Liga

AleksandrSoldatenkov

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
FC Sochi
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
29
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Soldatenkov at €2M. Model A, which never saw Soldatenkov during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 61% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.61. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.47A €1.2M▼ −0.10B €2.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
54
Minutes
4,629
Goals
1
Assists
2
Started
51/54
Min / app
86
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Soldatenkov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €1.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Aleksandr Soldatenkov's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 40th, Assists per 90 49th, Minutes, two years 78th, Starts 83rd, Minutes, last 365 days 77th, European club minutes 30th40thGoals49thAssists78thMinutes83rdStarts77thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

94% this player83% defender median83rd percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jan 2016
Peak
€4M
Dec 2023
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
26
2 club changes
May 2026€2MFC SochiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, FC Sochi. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-01-23€50kChertanovo Moscow
2016-12-02€50kChertanovo Moscow
2017-06-01€50kChertanovo Moscow
2017-11-22€125kChertanovo Moscow
2018-06-06€200kChertanovo Moscow
2018-10-15€350kChertanovo Moscow
2018-12-20€500kChertanovo Moscow
2019-06-14€700kChertanovo Moscow
2019-12-23€750kChertanovo Moscow
2020-04-08€600kChertanovo Moscow
2020-06-29€600kChertanovo Moscow
2020-12-29€750kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2021-05-24€900kKrylya Sovetov Samara
2021-12-06€1MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2022-06-02€1.5MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2022-11-21€2.5MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2023-06-14€2.5MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2023-10-05€3MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2023-12-13€4MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2024-06-04€4MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2024-12-12€4MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2025-06-04€4MKrylya Sovetov Samara
2025-09-18€3.5MFC Sochi
2025-12-16€2.8MFC Sochi
2026-03-25€2.5MFC Sochi
2026-05-26€2MFC Sochi

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.475

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 65% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Soldatenkov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).