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Anton

Miranchuk

AMRussia · Dynamo Moscow

№ 255451Established €922k +0.77

Player dossierPremier Liga

AntonMiranchuk

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Dynamo Moscow
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
30
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Miranchuk at €2M. Model A, which never saw Miranchuk during training, estimates €922k: the market value is 117% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.17. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.77A €922k▲ +0.55B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
19
Minutes
1,148
Goals
1
Assists
3
Started
14/19
Min / app
60
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Miranchuk…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €922k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Anton Miranchuk's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 48th, Assists per 90 90th, Minutes, two years 17th, Starts 59th, Minutes, last 365 days 37th, European club minutes 30th48thGoals90thAssists17thMinutes59thStarts37thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.24 this player0.09 midfielder median90th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Apr 2013
Peak
€16M
Jun 2019
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
28
5 club changes
May 2026€2MDynamo MoscowValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, Dynamo Moscow. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-04-28€25kLokomotiv Moscow II
2015-08-25€150kLokomotiv Moscow II
2016-07-09€200kLevadia Tallinn
2016-11-07€250kLevadia Tallinn
2017-06-01€250kLokomotiv Moscow II
2017-10-02€500kLokomotiv Moscow
2017-12-23€2.5MLokomotiv Moscow
2018-06-06€8MLokomotiv Moscow
2018-12-20€10MLokomotiv Moscow
2019-04-24€12.5MLokomotiv Moscow
2019-06-14€16MLokomotiv Moscow
2019-12-23€16MLokomotiv Moscow
2020-04-08€13MLokomotiv Moscow
2020-07-29€12MLokomotiv Moscow
2020-12-29€14MLokomotiv Moscow
2021-06-02€12MLokomotiv Moscow
2021-09-15€10MLokomotiv Moscow
2021-12-29€7.5MLokomotiv Moscow
2022-06-02€5MLokomotiv Moscow
2022-11-21€5MLokomotiv Moscow
2023-06-14€5MLokomotiv Moscow
2023-12-13€5MLokomotiv Moscow
2024-06-04€6MLokomotiv Moscow
2024-12-23€3.5MFC Sion
2025-03-20€3MFC Sion
2025-06-10€2.5MFC Sion
2025-12-16€2.5MDynamo Moscow
2026-05-26€2MDynamo Moscow

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.774

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 65% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 46% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Miranchuk appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).