FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Nedim

Bajrami

AMAlbania · Rangers FC

№ 390177Established €2.2M +0.11

Player dossierPremiership

NedimBajrami

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Rangers FC
League
Premiership
Nationality
Albania
Age
27
Height
179 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
20 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Bajrami at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Bajrami during training, estimates €2.2M: the market value is 11% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.11. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.11A €2.2M▼ −0.27B €3.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
56
Minutes
2,615
Goals
4
Assists
5
Started
27/56
Min / app
47
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bajrami…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €2.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Nedim Bajrami's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 69th, Assists per 90 77th, Minutes, two years 50th, Starts 19th, Minutes, last 365 days 9th, European club minutes 93rd69thGoals77thAssists50thMinutes19thStarts9thRecent93rdEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

27% this player0% midfielder median93rd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jul 2017
Peak
€10M
Oct 2021
Model target
€2.5M
May 2026
Valuations
25
5 club changes
May 2026€2.5MRangers FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.5M, Rangers FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-07-12€100kGrasshopper Club Zurich
2018-01-08€2MGrasshopper Club Zurich
2018-04-24€2MGrasshopper Club Zurich
2018-07-12€2.8MGrasshopper Club Zurich
2019-01-21€3.5MGrasshopper Club Zurich
2019-04-15€3.5MGrasshopper Club Zurich
2019-06-04€2.5MGrasshopper Club Zurich
2019-12-30€2.5MFC Empoli
2020-04-08€2.3MFC Empoli
2020-08-21€2.7MEmpoli FC
2021-02-22€5MEmpoli FC
2021-06-24€6MEmpoli FC
2021-10-14€10MFC Empoli
2021-12-28€10MFC Empoli
2022-06-07€10MFC Empoli
2022-11-11€8MFC Empoli
2023-06-15€7.5MUS Sassuolo
2023-12-20€6MUS Sassuolo
2024-06-05€4.5MUS Sassuolo
2024-12-03€4.5MRangers FC
2025-03-12€4MRangers FC
2025-06-17€3MRangers FC
2025-10-08€2.5MRangers FC
2025-12-10€2.5MRangers FC
2026-05-20€2.5MRangers FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.107

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premiership311 players · median €400k

Valued above 86% of the 311 Premiership players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bajrami appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).