Maximilian
Bauer
CBGermany · FC Augsburg
Player dossierBundesliga
MaximilianBauer
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- FC Augsburg
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Germany
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 189 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 19 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Bauer at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Bauer during training, estimates €1.8M: the market value is 18% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.22. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €799k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 18
- Minutes
- 996
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 12/18
- Min / app
- 55
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bauer…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% defender median30th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Sept 2018
- Peak
- €3.5M
- Nov 2022
- Model target
- €1.5M
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 21
- 3 club changes
Dec 2025: €1.5M, FC Augsburg. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-09-07 | €200k | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 2018-10-16 | €300k | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 2019-01-08 | €350k | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 2019-06-12 | €300k | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 2019-12-13 | €300k | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 2020-11-18 | €600k | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 2021-02-08 | €1.2M | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 2021-06-16 | €2.5M | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 2021-10-07 | €3M | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 2021-12-22 | €3M | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 2022-03-24 | €2M | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 2022-06-09 | €1.6M | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
| 2022-09-21 | €2.5M | FC Augsburg |
| 2022-11-09 | €3.5M | FC Augsburg |
| 2023-06-22 | €3.5M | FC Augsburg |
| 2023-12-14 | €3.5M | FC Augsburg |
| 2024-05-29 | €3M | FC Augsburg |
| 2024-12-20 | €3M | FC Augsburg |
| 2025-06-19 | €2M | 1.FC Kaiserslautern |
| 2025-10-14 | €1.5M | FC Augsburg |
| 2025-12-19 | €1.5M | FC Augsburg |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.197
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 12% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 43% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Bauer appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- HofmannAMBayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga€1.5M
- KüblerRBSC Freiburg · Bundesliga€1.5M
- GregoritschCFFC Augsburg · Bundesliga€1.5M
- MweneLB1.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga€1.5M
- TraunerCBFeyenoord Rotterdam · defenders€1.5M
- WalkerRBBurnley FC · defenders€1.5M
- TrippierRBNewcastle United · defenders€1.5M
- MeunierRBLOSC Lille · defenders€1.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).