Aleksey
Gritsaenko
CBRussia · Rubin Kazan
Player dossierPremier Liga
AlekseyGritsaenko
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Rubin Kazan
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Russia
- Age
- 31
- Height
- 186 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Gritsaenko at €1M. Model A, which never saw Gritsaenko during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 25% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.33. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 47
- Minutes
- 3,724
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 42/47
- Min / app
- 79
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gritsaenko…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
89% this player83% defender median67th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Aug 2015
- Peak
- €1.8M
- Dec 2024
- Model target
- €1M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 25
- 7 club changes
May 2026: €1M, Rubin Kazan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-08-26 | €50k | Luch-Energia Vladivostok |
| 2016-01-17 | €50k | Luch-Energia Vladivostok |
| 2016-07-01 | €150k | Luch-Energia Vladivostok |
| 2016-12-28 | €250k | Luch-Energia Vladivostok |
| 2017-06-01 | €300k | Luch-Energia Vladivostok |
| 2017-12-23 | €1M | FC Krasnodar |
| 2018-06-06 | €1M | FC Krasnodar |
| 2018-12-20 | €800k | Enisey Krasnoyarsk |
| 2019-06-14 | €800k | Enisey Krasnoyarsk |
| 2019-12-23 | €900k | FK Tambov |
| 2020-04-08 | €725k | FK Tambov |
| 2020-07-29 | €800k | PFK Tambov |
| 2020-12-29 | €800k | PFK Tambov |
| 2021-06-02 | €700k | Rubin Kazan |
| 2021-12-07 | €500k | Kuban Krasnodar |
| 2022-05-30 | €500k | Kuban Krasnodar |
| 2022-12-08 | €500k | Rubin Kazan |
| 2023-06-19 | €700k | Rubin Kazan |
| 2023-12-13 | €1M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2024-06-04 | €1.5M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2024-12-12 | €1.8M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2025-06-04 | €1.8M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2025-12-16 | €1.5M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2026-03-25 | €1.2M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2026-05-26 | €1M | Rubin Kazan |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.286
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 44% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 35% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Gritsaenko appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- AkinfeevGKCSKA Moscow · Premier Liga€1M
- DzyubaCFAkron Tolyatti · Premier Liga€1M
- PomazunGKSpartak Moscow · Premier Liga€1M
- TabidzeCBDinamo Makhachkala · Premier Liga€1M
- OtamendiCBSL Benfica · defenders€1M
- AzpilicuetaCBSevilla FC · defenders€1M
- KaravaevRBDynamo Kyiv · defenders€1M
- BerchicheLBAthletic Bilbao · defenders€1M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).