FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Khetag

Khosonov

DMRussia · Akron Tolyatti

№ 391905Emerging €1.2M −0.19

Player dossierPremier Liga

KhetagKhosonov

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Akron Tolyatti
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
27
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Khosonov at €1M. Model A, which never saw Khosonov during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 17% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.19A €1.2M▼ −0.13B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
47
Minutes
3,228
Goals
1
Assists
6
Started
36/47
Min / app
69
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Khosonov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €1.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Khetag Khosonov's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 23rd, Assists per 90 76th, Minutes, two years 61st, Starts 64th, Minutes, last 365 days 54th, European club minutes 30th23rdGoals76thAssists61stMinutes64thStarts54thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.17 this player0.09 midfielder median76th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jan 2016
Peak
€1M
Jun 2024
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
24
7 club changes
May 2026€1MAkron TolyattiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, Akron Tolyatti. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-01-23€50kCSKA Moscow II
2016-12-02€150kCSKA Moscow II
2017-06-01€150kCSKA Moscow II
2017-10-02€200kCSKA Moscow II
2017-11-24€300kCSKA Moscow II
2018-06-06€450kCSKA Moscow II
2018-12-20€700kCSKA Moscow
2019-06-14€700kFK Tambov
2019-12-23€600kFK Tambov
2020-04-08€525kFK Tambov
2020-07-29€450kCSKA Moscow
2020-12-29€450kAlania Vladikavkaz
2021-05-24€450kAlania Vladikavkaz
2021-12-07€500kAlania Vladikavkaz
2022-05-30€550kAlania Vladikavkaz
2022-12-08€650kAlania Vladikavkaz
2023-06-19€750kAlania Vladikavkaz
2023-11-30€800kFC Khimki
2024-06-14€1MFC Khimki
2024-12-12€1MFC Khimki
2025-06-02€1MTorpedo Moscow
2025-09-18€900kAkron Tolyatti
2025-12-16€1MAkron Tolyatti
2026-05-26€1MAkron Tolyatti

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.191

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 44% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 32% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Khosonov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).