Evan

Ndicka

CBCote d'Ivoire · AS Roma

№ 371149World Class €31.7M +0.10

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

EvanNdicka

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club: AS Roma
League: Serie A
Nationality: Cote d'Ivoire
Age: 26
Height: 192 cm
Foot: Left
Valued: 29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ndicka at €35M. Model A, which never saw Ndicka during training, estimates €31.7M: the market value is 10% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.10. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €33.8M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 93
Minutes: 8,070
Goals: 6
Assists: 2
Started: 89/93
Min / app: 87
Cards: 9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ndicka…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €35M

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

8,070 this player2,860 defender median100th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €100k; Mar 2017
Peak: €35M; Mar 2026
Model target: €35M; May 2026
Valuations: 26; 2 club changes

May 2026€35MAS RomaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €35M, AS Roma. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2017-03-20	€100k	AJ Auxerre
2017-06-15	€100k	AJ Auxerre
2018-05-16	€400k	AJ Auxerre
2018-08-22	€4M	Eintracht Frankfurt
2018-10-22	€6M	Eintracht Frankfurt
2018-12-18	€15M	Eintracht Frankfurt
2019-03-06	€22M	Eintracht Frankfurt
2019-06-05	€25M	Eintracht Frankfurt
2019-10-02	€22M	Eintracht Frankfurt
2019-12-17	€20M	Eintracht Frankfurt
2020-03-11	€25M	Eintracht Frankfurt
2020-04-08	€22.5M	Eintracht Frankfurt
2021-02-10	€22.5M	Eintracht Frankfurt
2021-03-31	€28M	Eintracht Frankfurt
2021-06-09	€28M	Eintracht Frankfurt
2021-12-22	€28M	Eintracht Frankfurt
2022-06-09	€32M	Eintracht Frankfurt
2022-11-09	€32M	Eintracht Frankfurt
2023-06-22	€28M	Eintracht Frankfurt
2023-12-20	€24M	AS Roma
2024-06-05	€25M	AS Roma
2024-12-18	€25M	AS Roma
2025-06-17	€30M	AS Roma
2025-12-23	€30M	AS Roma
2026-03-24	€35M	AS Roma
2026-05-29	€35M	AS Roma

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: +0.098

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 94% of the 507 Serie A players.

See them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 96% of the 2,065 defenders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Ndicka appears

TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).