FairValue

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Stanley

Nsoki

CBFrance · 1.FC Union Berlin

№ 371141Established €4.3M −0.76

Player dossierBundesliga

StanleyNsoki

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
1.FC Union Berlin
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
France
Age
27
Height
184 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Nsoki at €2M. Model A, which never saw Nsoki during training, estimates €4.3M: the market value is 53% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.13. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.76A €4.3M▼ −0.72B €4.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
41
Minutes
2,561
Goals
1
Assists
2
Started
31/41
Min / app
62
Cards
6Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Nsoki…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €4.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Stanley Nsoki's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 53rd, Assists per 90 67th, Minutes, two years 44th, Starts 36th, Minutes, last 365 days 23rd, European club minutes 80th53rdGoals67thAssists44thMinutes36thStarts23rdRecent80thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

17% this player0% defender median80th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€5M
Sept 2018
Peak
€12M
Mar 2020
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
26
4 club changes
May 2026€2M1.FC Union BerlinValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, 1.FC Union Berlin. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-09-06€5MParis Saint-Germain
2018-12-17€5MParis Saint-Germain
2019-03-07€8.5MParis Saint-Germain
2019-06-03€8.5MParis Saint-Germain
2019-12-19€10MOGC Nice
2020-03-13€12MOGC Nice
2020-04-08€11MOGC Nice
2020-10-15€8MOGC Nice
2021-01-07€7MOGC Nice
2021-04-09€6.5MOGC Nice
2021-06-04€5MOGC Nice
2021-10-06€6MClub Brugge KV
2022-01-06€5MClub Brugge KV
2022-04-12€6.5MClub Brugge KV
2022-05-26€7MClub Brugge KV
2022-09-21€10MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2022-11-09€8.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2023-06-22€5.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2023-10-18€3MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2023-12-14€3MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2024-05-29€2.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2024-12-20€2.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2025-06-05€2.5MTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2025-12-19€1.8M1.FC Union Berlin
2026-03-20€2M1.FC Union Berlin
2026-05-27€2M1.FC Union Berlin

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.757

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 19% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Nsoki appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).