FairValue

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Omar

Traoré

RBGermany · 1.FC Heidenheim 1846

№ 388294Established €1.8M +0.13

Player dossierBundesliga

OmarTraoré

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
1.FC Heidenheim 1846
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Germany
Age
28
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Traoré at €2M. Model A, which never saw Traoré during training, estimates €1.8M: the market value is 14% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.14. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.13A €1.8M▲ +0.01B €2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
60
Minutes
4,313
Goals
0
Assists
3
Started
48/60
Min / app
72
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Traoré…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €1.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Omar Traoré's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 64th, Minutes, two years 74th, Starts 44th, Minutes, last 365 days 46th, European club minutes 61st18thGoals64thAssists74thMinutes44thStarts46thRecent61stEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

4,313 this player2,860 defender median74th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Feb 2018
Peak
€4M
Dec 2024
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
24
3 club changes
May 2026€2M1.FC Heidenheim 1846Valuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, 1.FC Heidenheim 1846. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-02-03€25kSV Rödinghausen
2018-07-15€50kSV Rödinghausen
2019-02-05€50kSV Rödinghausen
2019-07-15€50kSV Rödinghausen
2019-10-01€100kSV Rödinghausen
2020-01-21€125kSV Rödinghausen
2020-06-22€175kSV Rödinghausen
2021-01-20€175kKFC Uerdingen 05
2021-06-14€175kKFC Uerdingen 05
2021-12-30€225kVfL Osnabrück
2022-06-01€250kVfL Osnabrück
2022-12-08€275kVfL Osnabrück
2023-03-30€325kVfL Osnabrück
2023-06-13€400kVfL Osnabrück
2023-10-18€1M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2023-12-14€1.5M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2024-03-27€2M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2024-05-29€2.5M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2024-10-09€3.5M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2024-12-20€4M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2025-06-05€4M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2025-12-19€3M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2026-03-20€2.5M1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2026-05-27€2M1.FC Heidenheim 1846

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.130

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 19% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Traoré appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).