FairValue

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Portrait of Rani Khedira

Rani

Khedira

DMTunisia · 1.FC Union Berlin

№ 124410Established €2.8M −0.34

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierBundesliga

RaniKhedira

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
1.FC Union Berlin
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Tunisia
Age
32
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Khedira at €2M. Model A, which never saw Khedira during training, estimates €2.8M: the market value is 29% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.40. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.34A €2.8M▼ −0.25B €2.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
69
Minutes
6,042
Goals
6
Assists
3
Started
68/69
Min / app
88
Cards
14Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Khedira…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €2.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Rani Khedira's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 52nd, Assists per 90 26th, Minutes, two years 95th, Starts 98th, Minutes, last 365 days 93rd, European club minutes 30th52ndGoals26thAssists95thMinutes98thStarts93rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

99% this player69% midfielder median98th percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Feb 2012
Peak
€10M
Jun 2019
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
31
4 club changes
May 2026€2M1.FC Union BerlinValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, 1.FC Union Berlin. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-02-02€100kVfB Stuttgart U19
2012-03-05€300kVfB Stuttgart U19
2013-01-13€300kVfB Stuttgart
2013-06-30€300kVfB Stuttgart
2014-02-12€750kVfB Stuttgart
2014-07-06€900kRB Leipzig
2015-01-13€1.3MRB Leipzig
2015-07-01€1.3MRB Leipzig
2016-02-11€900kRB Leipzig
2016-07-22€900kRB Leipzig
2017-02-07€750kRB Leipzig
2017-06-19€750kRB Leipzig
2017-10-18€1.5MFC Augsburg
2017-12-28€2.5MFC Augsburg
2018-06-05€3.5MFC Augsburg
2018-12-18€6MFC Augsburg
2019-06-05€10MFC Augsburg
2019-12-17€10MFC Augsburg
2020-04-08€8MFC Augsburg
2021-02-10€6MFC Augsburg
2021-06-09€5MFC Augsburg
2021-12-22€5.5M1.FC Union Berlin
2022-06-09€6M1.FC Union Berlin
2022-11-09€8M1.FC Union Berlin
2023-06-22€10M1.FC Union Berlin
2023-12-14€8M1.FC Union Berlin
2024-05-29€5M1.FC Union Berlin
2024-12-20€3M1.FC Union Berlin
2025-06-05€2.5M1.FC Union Berlin
2025-12-19€2M1.FC Union Berlin
2026-05-27€2M1.FC Union Berlin

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.336

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 19% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 46% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Khedira appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).