FairValue

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Rasmus Nissen

Kristensen

RBDenmark · Eintracht Frankfurt

№ 369684Elite €7M +0.36

Player dossierBundesliga

Rasmus NissenKristensen

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Eintracht Frankfurt
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
28
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kristensen at €10M. Model A, which never saw Kristensen during training, estimates €7M: the market value is 43% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.43. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.36A €7M▲ +0.41B €6.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
71
Minutes
5,628
Goals
9
Assists
4
Started
64/71
Min / app
79
Cards
13Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kristensen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €10MModel A €7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Rasmus Nissen Kristensen's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 95th, Assists per 90 65th, Minutes, two years 90th, Starts 69th, Minutes, last 365 days 64th, European club minutes 85th95thGoals65thAssists90thMinutes69thStarts64thRecent85thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.14 this player0.03 defender median95th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€400k
Aug 2016
Peak
€15M
Mar 2022
Model target
€10M
May 2026
Valuations
29
5 club changes
May 2026€10MEintracht FrankfurtValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €10M, Eintracht Frankfurt. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-08-12€400kFC Midtjylland
2016-12-12€600kFC Midtjylland
2017-03-27€700kFC Midtjylland
2017-06-21€1.5MFC Midtjylland
2017-12-18€1.8MFC Midtjylland
2018-03-27€3MAjax Amsterdam
2018-06-12€3MAjax Amsterdam
2018-10-04€2MAjax Amsterdam
2018-12-28€2.5MAjax Amsterdam
2019-06-12€2.5MAjax Amsterdam
2019-09-03€3MRed Bull Salzburg
2019-12-16€4MRed Bull Salzburg
2020-04-08€3.2MRed Bull Salzburg
2020-07-22€4MRed Bull Salzburg
2020-12-21€7MRed Bull Salzburg
2021-05-26€8.5MRed Bull Salzburg
2021-09-06€12MRed Bull Salzburg
2021-12-16€13MRed Bull Salzburg
2022-03-11€15MRed Bull Salzburg
2022-05-27€15MRed Bull Salzburg
2022-11-03€15MLeeds United
2023-06-20€13MLeeds United
2023-12-20€10MAS Roma
2024-06-05€10MAS Roma
2024-12-20€10MEintracht Frankfurt
2025-06-05€14MEintracht Frankfurt
2025-12-19€14MEintracht Frankfurt
2026-03-20€12MEintracht Frankfurt
2026-05-27€10MEintracht Frankfurt

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.360

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 65% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 81% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kristensen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).