FairValue

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Portrait of Milan Škriniar

Milan

Škriniar

CBSlovakia · Fenerbahce

№ 204069Elite €4.5M +0.80

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSüper Lig

MilanŠkriniar

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Fenerbahce
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Slovakia
Age
31
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Škriniar at €10M. Model A, which never saw Škriniar during training, estimates €4.5M: the market value is 123% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.23. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.80A €4.5M▲ +0.78B €4.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
61
Minutes
5,336
Goals
5
Assists
3
Started
60/61
Min / app
87
Cards
13Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Škriniar…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €10MModel A €4.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Milan Škriniar's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 81st, Assists per 90 57th, Minutes, two years 87th, Starts 93rd, Minutes, last 365 days 94th, European club minutes 92nd81stGoals57thAssists87thMinutes93rdStarts94thRecent92ndEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,305 this player1,687 defender median94th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,941

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jun 2012
Peak
€65M
Dec 2021
Model target
€10M
May 2026
Valuations
41
6 club changes
May 2026€10MFenerbahceValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €10M, Fenerbahce. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-06-17€50kMSK Zilina
2012-12-07€100kMSK Zilina
2013-06-11€100kFC ViOn Zlate Moravce-Vrable
2014-01-02€75kMSK Zilina
2014-06-22€125kMSK Zilina
2014-12-25€325kMSK Zilina
2015-06-09€550kMSK Zilina
2015-12-14€600kMSK Zilina
2016-06-01€600kUC Sampdoria
2016-07-15€800kUC Sampdoria
2016-10-14€1MUC Sampdoria
2017-01-02€2MUC Sampdoria
2017-03-28€4MUC Sampdoria
2017-06-08€7MUC Sampdoria
2017-10-13€15MInter Milan
2017-12-29€30MInter Milan
2018-03-24€40MInter Milan
2018-06-07€45MInter Milan
2018-10-12€50MInter Milan
2018-12-20€60MInter Milan
2019-06-06€60MInter Milan
2019-12-12€60MInter Milan
2020-04-08€48MInter Milan
2020-08-25€50MInter Milan
2020-12-29€50MInter Milan
2021-03-23€55MInter Milan
2021-05-31€60MInter Milan
2021-12-28€65MInter Milan
2022-06-07€65MInter Milan
2022-11-11€60MInter Milan
2023-06-15€50MInter Milan
2023-12-18€45MParis Saint-Germain
2024-03-19€40MParis Saint-Germain
2024-06-03€30MParis Saint-Germain
2024-10-07€20MParis Saint-Germain
2024-12-10€15MParis Saint-Germain
2025-03-20€15MFenerbahce
2025-06-18€15MFenerbahce
2025-10-01€12MFenerbahce
2025-12-17€11MFenerbahce
2026-05-21€10MFenerbahce

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.804

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 91% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 81% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Škriniar appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).