FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Luuk

Brouwers

AMNetherlands · SC Heerenveen

№ 369552Emerging €2.2M −0.39

Player dossierEredivisie

LuukBrouwers

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
SC Heerenveen
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
28
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Brouwers at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Brouwers during training, estimates €2.2M: the market value is 32% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.47. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.39A €2.2M▼ −0.83B €3.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
60
Minutes
4,243
Goals
8
Assists
10
Started
49/60
Min / app
71
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Brouwers…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €2.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Luuk Brouwers's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 77th, Assists per 90 86th, Minutes, two years 77th, Starts 73rd, Minutes, last 365 days 70th, European club minutes 30th77thGoals86thAssists77thMinutes73rdStarts70thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.21 this player0.09 midfielder median86th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Apr 2015
Peak
€2.5M
Oct 2024
Model target
€1.5M
May 2026
Valuations
29
5 club changes
May 2026€1.5MSC HeerenveenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.5M, SC Heerenveen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-04-12€25kBrabant United U17
2015-07-01€25kBrabant United U21
2016-02-05€25kBrabant United U21
2016-07-01€25kFC Den Bosch
2017-02-02€75kFC Den Bosch
2017-06-21€100kFC Den Bosch
2018-03-01€100kFC Den Bosch
2018-06-29€100kFC Den Bosch
2019-01-21€100kFC Den Bosch
2019-07-03€250kFC Den Bosch
2020-06-29€275kFC Den Bosch
2020-10-24€300kGo Ahead Eagles
2020-12-31€350kGo Ahead Eagles
2021-10-04€400kGo Ahead Eagles
2022-01-05€750kGo Ahead Eagles
2022-03-17€1MGo Ahead Eagles
2022-06-08€1MGo Ahead Eagles
2022-11-11€1.5MFC Utrecht
2023-06-23€1.2MFC Utrecht
2023-10-17€850kSC Heerenveen
2023-12-15€1.3MSC Heerenveen
2024-03-18€2MSC Heerenveen
2024-05-31€2MSC Heerenveen
2024-10-14€2.5MSC Heerenveen
2024-12-17€2.5MSC Heerenveen
2025-05-28€2.5MSC Heerenveen
2025-12-02€2.5MSC Heerenveen
2026-03-11€2MSC Heerenveen
2026-05-28€1.5MSC Heerenveen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.386

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 54% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 39% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Brouwers appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).