FairValue

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Maximiliano

Caufriez

CBBelgium · Clermont Foot 63

№ 369267Emerging €1.2M −0.25

Player dossierLigue 1

MaximilianoCaufriez

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Clermont Foot 63
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Belgium
Age
28
Height
189 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
11 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Caufriez at €900k. Model A, which never saw Caufriez during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 22% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.28. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €683k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.25A €1.2M▲ +0.28B €683k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
12
Minutes
951
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
12/12
Min / app
79
Cards
3Y 2R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Caufriez…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €900kModel A €1.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Maximiliano Caufriez's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 11th, Starts 97th, Minutes, last 365 days 1st, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists11thMinutes97thStarts1stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player83% defender median97th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Sept 2015
Peak
€3M
Oct 2023
Model target
€900k
Dec 2025
Valuations
26
6 club changes
Dec 2025€900kClermont Foot 63Valuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €900k, Clermont Foot 63. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-09-15€100kKVRS Waasland - SK Beveren
2016-02-07€150kKVRS Waasland - SK Beveren
2016-07-15€200kKVRS Waasland - SK Beveren
2017-01-21€200kKVRS Waasland - SK Beveren
2017-06-06€250kKVRS Waasland - SK Beveren
2018-01-09€350kKVRS Waasland - SK Beveren
2018-03-30€500kKVRS Waasland - SK Beveren
2018-06-03€500kKVRS Waasland - SK Beveren
2018-12-27€500kKVRS Waasland - SK Beveren
2019-06-10€550kKVRS Waasland - SK Beveren
2019-12-13€700kKVRS Waasland - SK Beveren
2020-04-08€550kKVRS Waasland - SK Beveren
2020-10-16€850kSint-Truidense VV
2021-06-07€850kSint-Truidense VV
2021-09-15€1.2MSpartak Moscow
2021-12-29€1.2MSpartak Moscow
2022-06-02€900kSpartak Moscow
2022-11-02€1.2MClermont Foot 63
2023-03-27€1.8MClermont Foot 63
2023-06-27€2.5MClermont Foot 63
2023-10-16€3MClermont Foot 63
2023-12-18€3MClermont Foot 63
2024-06-03€2.5MClermont Foot 63
2024-12-27€1.5MValencia CF
2025-06-06€1MRed Bull Salzburg
2025-12-11€900kClermont Foot 63

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.248

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 8% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 33% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Caufriez appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).