Olivier
Giroud
CFFrance · LOSC Lille
Player dossierLigue 1
OlivierGiroud
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- LOSC Lille
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- France
- Age
- 39
- Height
- 192 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Giroud at €900k. Model A, which never saw Giroud during training, estimates €683k: the market value is 32% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.32. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €529k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 42
- Minutes
- 2,261
- Goals
- 11
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 23/42
- Min / app
- 54
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Giroud…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
29% this player0% attacker median93rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Aug 2008
- Peak
- €27M
- Feb 2016
- Model target
- €900k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 44
- 7 club changes
Jun 2026: €900k, LOSC Lille. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2008-08-18 | €50k | Grenoble Foot 38 |
| 2008-12-13 | €400k | Tours FC |
| 2009-06-03 | €800k | Tours FC |
| 2009-12-13 | €2.5M | Tours FC |
| 2010-05-17 | €3M | Tours FC |
| 2010-12-28 | €4.5M | Montpellier HSC |
| 2011-05-24 | €5M | Montpellier HSC |
| 2011-09-25 | €6M | Montpellier HSC |
| 2011-12-24 | €9.3M | Montpellier HSC |
| 2012-02-02 | €9.5M | Montpellier HSC |
| 2012-05-23 | €13M | Montpellier HSC |
| 2012-09-09 | €15M | Arsenal FC |
| 2013-01-28 | €15M | Arsenal FC |
| 2013-07-02 | €16M | Arsenal FC |
| 2014-01-15 | €20M | Arsenal FC |
| 2014-08-12 | €20M | Arsenal FC |
| 2015-02-12 | €20M | Arsenal FC |
| 2015-07-01 | €24M | Arsenal FC |
| 2016-02-09 | €27M | Arsenal FC |
| 2016-06-01 | €25M | Arsenal FC |
| 2016-08-01 | €25M | Arsenal FC |
| 2017-02-20 | €25M | Arsenal FC |
| 2017-06-28 | €22M | Arsenal FC |
| 2018-01-02 | €20M | Arsenal FC |
| 2018-05-28 | €18M | Chelsea FC |
| 2018-12-19 | €15M | Chelsea FC |
| 2019-06-13 | €15M | Chelsea FC |
| 2019-09-12 | €12M | Chelsea FC |
| 2019-12-10 | €9M | Chelsea FC |
| 2020-04-08 | €7M | Chelsea FC |
| 2020-10-13 | €5M | Chelsea FC |
| 2021-03-18 | €5M | Chelsea FC |
| 2021-06-01 | €4M | Chelsea FC |
| 2021-12-28 | €2.5M | AC Milan |
| 2022-06-07 | €3.5M | AC Milan |
| 2022-11-11 | €4M | AC Milan |
| 2023-06-15 | €4M | AC Milan |
| 2023-12-20 | €4M | AC Milan |
| 2024-06-05 | €3M | AC Milan |
| 2024-12-12 | €2.5M | Los Angeles FC |
| 2025-04-17 | €1.8M | Los Angeles FC |
| 2025-06-05 | €1.5M | Los Angeles FC |
| 2025-12-15 | €1M | LOSC Lille |
| 2026-06-01 | €900k | LOSC Lille |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.275
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 8% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 28% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Giroud appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- LopesGKFC Nantes · Ligue 1€900k
- DiawGKLe Havre AC · Ligue 1€900k
- KvilitaiaCFFC Metz · Ligue 1€900k
- Ballo-TouréLBFC Metz · Ligue 1€900k
- BaldéLWAC Monza · attackers€900k
- KramerCFKonyaspor · attackers€900k
- ArnáizLWGranada CF · attackers€900k
- AsoroRWFC Metz · attackers€900k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).