FairValue

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Dan

Agyei

RWGhana · Kocaelispor

№ 367195Emerging €1.2M +0.02

Player dossierSüper Lig

DanAgyei

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Kocaelispor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Ghana
Age
28
Height
183 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Agyei at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Agyei during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 2% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.02A €1.2M▼ −0.04B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
31
Minutes
2,131
Goals
5
Assists
0
Started
23/31
Min / app
69
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Agyei…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €1.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Dan Agyei's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 39th, Assists per 90 6th, Minutes, two years 48th, Starts 74th, Minutes, last 365 days 78th, European club minutes 28th39thGoals6thAssists48thMinutes74thStarts78thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,131 this player1,301 attacker median78th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Oct 2016
Peak
€1.2M
May 2026
Model target
€1.2M
May 2026
Valuations
11
4 club changes
May 2026€1.2MKocaelisporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.2M, Kocaelispor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-10-11€75kCoventry City
2017-10-24€100kWalsall FC
2023-04-06€250kCrewe Alexandra
2023-06-23€250kCrewe Alexandra
2023-12-27€225kLeyton Orient
2024-06-28€225kLeyton Orient
2024-12-27€275kLeyton Orient
2025-06-18€375kLeyton Orient
2025-10-01€400kKocaelispor
2025-12-17€800kKocaelispor
2026-05-21€1.2MKocaelispor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.021

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 45% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Agyei appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).