Mitchel
Bakker
LMNetherlands · Atalanta BC
Close-up
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierSerie A
MitchelBakker
LMLeft MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Atalanta BC
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Netherlands
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 189 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Serie AReading the valuation
The market values Bakker at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Bakker during training, estimates €3M: the market value is 17% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.20. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 35
- Minutes
- 1,609
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 19/35
- Min / app
- 46
- Cards
- 4Y 1R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bakker…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
27% this player0% midfielder median94th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €500k
- Mar 2018
- Peak
- €14M
- Mar 2022
- Model target
- €2.5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 27
- 6 club changes
May 2026: €2.5M, Atalanta BC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-01 | €500k | Ajax Amsterdam U19 |
| 2018-06-29 | €500k | Ajax Amsterdam U19 |
| 2018-12-24 | €500k | Ajax Amsterdam U21 |
| 2019-01-21 | €500k | Ajax Amsterdam U21 |
| 2019-09-27 | €500k | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2019-12-19 | €500k | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2020-03-13 | €1M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2020-04-08 | €900k | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2020-10-15 | €3.5M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2021-01-07 | €10M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2021-06-04 | €10M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2021-12-22 | €10M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2022-03-24 | €14M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2022-06-09 | €14M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2022-09-21 | €12M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2022-11-09 | €9M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2023-06-22 | €9M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2023-12-20 | €8M | Atalanta BC |
| 2024-03-12 | €7M | Atalanta BC |
| 2024-06-05 | €6.5M | Atalanta BC |
| 2024-10-07 | €6M | LOSC Lille |
| 2024-12-10 | €5M | LOSC Lille |
| 2025-03-24 | €7M | LOSC Lille |
| 2025-06-03 | €7M | LOSC Lille |
| 2025-10-07 | €5M | Atalanta BC |
| 2025-12-23 | €4M | Atalanta BC |
| 2026-05-29 | €2.5M | Atalanta BC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.186
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 24% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Bakker appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ZapataCFTorino FC · Serie A€2.5M
- LazaroRMTorino FC · Serie A€2.5M
- MalinovskyiCMGenoa CFC · Serie A€2.5M
- MarusicRBSS Lazio · Serie A€2.5M
- EriksenAMVfL Wolfsburg · midfielders€2.5M
- GroßCMBrighton & Hove Albion · midfielders€2.5M
- BuyalskyiAMDynamo Kyiv · midfielders€2.5M
- TouréDMLe Havre AC · midfielders€2.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).