FairValue

Checking model

Esc
  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
  • EnvironmentTerminalExplore, compare and track players; market, league and model views.
  • EnvironmentStoriesValuations, head-to-heads and research findings, told as stories.
  • TerminalPlayer ExplorerSearch, filter and sort the player export.
  • TerminalComparison StudioTwo to four players on one scale.
  • TerminalWatchlistsNamed collections, kept in this browser.
  • TerminalMarket LandscapeHow observed value is distributed, and where the model drifts.

↑ ↓ to move · Enter to open · Esc to closeLoading player index…

Portrait of Ruslan Malinovskyi

Ruslan

Malinovskyi

CMUkraine · Genoa CFC

№ 207877Established €2M +0.24

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

RuslanMalinovskyi

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Genoa CFC
League
Serie A
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
33
Height
181 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Malinovskyi at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Malinovskyi during training, estimates €2M: the market value is 27% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.27. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €654k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.24A €2M▲ +1.34B €654k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
45
Minutes
2,694
Goals
6
Assists
6
Started
32/45
Min / app
60
Cards
12Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Malinovskyi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Ruslan Malinovskyi's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 83rd, Assists per 90 84th, Minutes, two years 52nd, Starts 54th, Minutes, last 365 days 73rd, European club minutes 30th83rdGoals84thAssists52ndMinutes54thStarts73rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.20 this player0.09 midfielder median84th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Sept 2012
Peak
€30M
May 2021
Model target
€2.5M
May 2026
Valuations
33
5 club changes
May 2026€2.5MGenoa CFCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.5M, Genoa CFC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2012-09-14€100kFC Sevastopol
2013-06-16€200kFC Sevastopol
2014-06-30€300kZorya Lugansk
2014-12-25€700kZorya Lugansk
2015-06-07€1.2MZorya Lugansk
2015-12-18€1.8MZorya Lugansk
2016-07-21€2MKRC Genk
2017-01-21€2MKRC Genk
2017-03-30€3.5MKRC Genk
2017-06-06€4MKRC Genk
2018-01-09€3.5MKRC Genk
2018-06-03€4MKRC Genk
2018-09-11€7MKRC Genk
2018-12-27€9MKRC Genk
2019-03-04€10MKRC Genk
2019-06-10€12.5MKRC Genk
2019-12-12€14MAtalanta BC
2020-04-08€11MAtalanta BC
2020-08-25€21MAtalanta BC
2020-12-29€21MAtalanta BC
2021-05-27€30MAtalanta BC
2021-12-28€30MAtalanta BC
2022-06-07€28MAtalanta BC
2022-11-11€18MAtalanta BC
2023-06-27€15MOlympique Marseille
2023-10-11€10MGenoa CFC
2023-12-20€10MGenoa CFC
2024-06-05€8MGenoa CFC
2024-10-18€5MGenoa CFC
2024-12-18€3.5MGenoa CFC
2025-06-17€2.5MGenoa CFC
2025-12-23€2.5MGenoa CFC
2026-05-29€2.5MGenoa CFC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.239

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 24% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Malinovskyi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).