Ritsu
Doan
RWJapan · Eintracht Frankfurt
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierBundesliga
RitsuDoan
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Eintracht Frankfurt
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Japan
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 172 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Doan at €17M. Model A, which never saw Doan during training, estimates €15.7M: the market value is 8% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €14M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 76
- Minutes
- 6,091
- Goals
- 17
- Assists
- 15
- Started
- 71/76
- Min / app
- 80
- Cards
- 8Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Doan…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €17M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
93% this player59% attacker median98th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Feb 2016
- Peak
- €25M
- Jun 2025
- Model target
- €17M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 27
- 6 club changes
May 2026: €17M, Eintracht Frankfurt. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-02-25 | €100k | Gamba Osaka |
| 2017-03-25 | €150k | Gamba Osaka |
| 2017-10-26 | €750k | FC Groningen |
| 2018-01-17 | €1M | FC Groningen |
| 2018-03-27 | €1.8M | FC Groningen |
| 2018-06-12 | €2.5M | FC Groningen |
| 2018-12-28 | €7.5M | FC Groningen |
| 2019-06-12 | €10M | FC Groningen |
| 2019-12-18 | €8M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2020-03-12 | €7M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2020-04-08 | €6.3M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2021-02-10 | €7M | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 2021-06-09 | €7M | Arminia Bielefeld |
| 2021-10-04 | €6.5M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2022-01-05 | €6.5M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2022-06-08 | €8M | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2022-11-09 | €12M | SC Freiburg |
| 2022-12-23 | €15M | SC Freiburg |
| 2023-06-22 | €18M | SC Freiburg |
| 2023-12-14 | €18M | SC Freiburg |
| 2024-03-27 | €15M | SC Freiburg |
| 2024-05-29 | €18M | SC Freiburg |
| 2024-12-20 | €22M | SC Freiburg |
| 2025-06-05 | €25M | SC Freiburg |
| 2025-12-19 | €25M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2026-03-20 | €20M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2026-05-27 | €17M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.079
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 78% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 84% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Doan appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- AmiriCM1.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga€17M
- TheateCBEintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga€17M
- KamińskiLW1.FC Köln · Bundesliga€17M
- LemperleCFTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga€17M
- JesusCFArsenal FC · attackers€17M
- PepêRWFC Porto · attackers€17M
- TyukavinCFDynamo Moscow · attackers€17M
- UedaCFFeyenoord Rotterdam · attackers€17M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).