FairValue

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Federico

Baschirotto

CBItaly · US Cremonese

№ 351955Established €3.6M −0.02

Player dossierSerie A

FedericoBaschirotto

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
US Cremonese
League
Serie A
Nationality
Italy
Age
29
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Baschirotto at €3.5M. Model A, which never saw Baschirotto during training, estimates €3.6M: the market value is 2% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.02A €3.6M▼ −0.19B €4.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
69
Minutes
6,141
Goals
4
Assists
0
Started
69/69
Min / app
89
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Baschirotto…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3.5MModel A €3.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Federico Baschirotto's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 69th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 93rd, Starts 97th, Minutes, last 365 days 79th, European club minutes 30th69thGoals17thAssists93rdMinutes97thStarts79thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player83% defender median97th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Jun 2016
Peak
€8M
Mar 2023
Model target
€3.5M
May 2026
Valuations
24
8 club changes
May 2026€3.5MUS CremoneseValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3.5M, US Cremonese. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-06-30€75kUS Cremonese
2016-12-14€75kForlì FC
2017-06-21€75kForlì FC
2017-12-18€75kAC Cuneo 1905
2018-06-19€75kAC Cuneo 1905
2019-02-05€125kVigor Carpaneto
2019-06-24€100kVigor Carpaneto
2019-12-20€100kAS Viterbese Castrense
2020-06-18€100kAS Viterbese Castrense
2021-01-13€125kUS Viterbese 1908
2021-06-23€175kUS Viterbese 1908
2021-12-29€250kAscoli Calcio
2022-06-06€450kAscoli Calcio
2022-09-27€1MUS Lecce
2022-11-11€2.2MUS Lecce
2023-03-21€8MUS Lecce
2023-06-15€8MUS Lecce
2023-12-20€7MUS Lecce
2024-06-05€6MUS Lecce
2024-12-18€5MUS Lecce
2025-03-25€3.8MUS Lecce
2025-06-17€3.6MUS Lecce
2025-12-23€4MUS Cremonese
2026-05-29€3.5MUS Cremonese

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.018

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 34% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 63% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Baschirotto appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).