FairValue

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Robin Le

Normand

CBSpain · Atlético de Madrid

№ 351809Elite €13.4M +0.40

Player dossierLaLiga

Robin LeNormand

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Atlético de Madrid
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
29
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Normand at €20M. Model A, which never saw Normand during training, estimates €13.4M: the market value is 49% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.49. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €18.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.40A €13.4M▲ +0.09B €18.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
86
Minutes
5,866
Goals
4
Assists
2
Started
62/86
Min / app
68
Cards
20Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Normand…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €20M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €20MModel A €13.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Robin Le Normand's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 71st, Assists per 90 44th, Minutes, two years 92nd, Starts 30th, Minutes, last 365 days 91st, European club minutes 87th71stGoals44thAssists92ndMinutes30thStarts91stRecent87thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,866 this player2,860 defender median92nd percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Aug 2016
Peak
€40M
Dec 2023
Model target
€20M
Jun 2026
Valuations
28
2 club changes
Jun 2026€20MAtlético de MadridValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €20M, Atlético de Madrid. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-08-01€50kReal Sociedad B
2016-10-27€100kReal Sociedad B
2017-02-02€100kReal Sociedad B
2017-06-30€150kReal Sociedad B
2018-01-01€300kReal Sociedad B
2018-05-30€300kReal Sociedad B
2019-02-19€1.5MReal Sociedad B
2019-06-11€4MReal Sociedad B
2019-12-20€5MReal Sociedad
2020-03-05€15MReal Sociedad
2020-04-08€12MReal Sociedad
2020-10-08€15MReal Sociedad
2021-01-05€20MReal Sociedad
2021-06-10€22MReal Sociedad
2021-10-13€25MReal Sociedad
2021-12-30€30MReal Sociedad
2022-06-03€30MReal Sociedad
2022-09-23€35MReal Sociedad
2022-11-07€35MReal Sociedad
2023-06-13€35MReal Sociedad
2023-12-22€40MReal Sociedad
2024-06-07€40MReal Sociedad
2024-12-27€40MAtlético de Madrid
2025-06-09€40MAtlético de Madrid
2025-10-02€35MAtlético de Madrid
2025-12-12€30MAtlético de Madrid
2026-03-16€25MAtlético de Madrid
2026-06-05€20MAtlético de Madrid

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.400

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 86% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 91% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€20MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Normand appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).