FairValue

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Andreas

Bruus

RBDenmark · AC Horsens

№ 345748Emerging €402k +0.62

Player dossierSuperliga

AndreasBruus

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
AC Horsens
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
26
Height
184 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
18 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Bruus at €750k. Model A, which never saw Bruus during training, estimates €402k: the market value is 87% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.87. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €466k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.62A €402k▲ +0.48B €466k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
14
Minutes
1,035
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
12/14
Min / app
74
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bruus…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €750k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €750kModel A €402k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Andreas Bruus's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 13th, Starts 57th, Minutes, last 365 days 1st, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists13thMinutes57thStarts1stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

86% this player83% defender median57th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Feb 2018
Peak
€2M
Jun 2022
Model target
€750k
Dec 2025
Valuations
19
5 club changes
Dec 2025€750kAC HorsensValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €750k, AC Horsens. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-02-04€50kBröndby IF
2018-06-02€150kBröndby IF
2018-12-21€100kFC Roskilde
2019-06-24€150kFC Roskilde
2019-12-22€150kBröndby IF
2020-07-31€700kBröndby IF
2020-12-23€1MBröndby IF
2021-06-04€1MBröndby IF
2021-12-28€1.5MBröndby IF
2022-06-20€2MBröndby IF
2022-11-02€2MESTAC Troyes
2023-06-27€2MESTAC Troyes
2023-10-27€1.5MESTAC Troyes
2023-12-13€1.2MESTAC Troyes
2024-03-26€1MESTAC Troyes
2024-06-11€800kESTAC Troyes
2024-12-09€900kAalborg BK
2025-06-16€900kAalborg BK
2025-12-18€750kAC Horsens

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.624

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 43% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 28% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Bruus appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).