FairValue

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Andreas

Poulsen

LBDenmark · Silkeborg IF

№ 345746Emerging €1.1M −0.26

Player dossierSuperliga

AndreasPoulsen

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Silkeborg IF
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
26
Height
188 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Poulsen at €850k. Model A, which never saw Poulsen during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 23% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.30. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.26A €1.1M▼ −1.04B €2.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
47
Minutes
3,479
Goals
1
Assists
8
Started
39/47
Min / app
74
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Poulsen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €850k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €850kModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Andreas Poulsen's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 45th, Assists per 90 96th, Minutes, two years 62nd, Starts 51st, Minutes, last 365 days 50th, European club minutes 71st45thGoals96thAssists62ndMinutes51stStarts50thRecent71stEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.21 this player0.04 defender median96th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2016
Peak
€4M
Aug 2018
Model target
€850k
May 2026
Valuations
23
6 club changes
May 2026€850kSilkeborg IFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €850k, Silkeborg IF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-12-12€50kFC Midtjylland U19
2017-06-21€100kFC Midtjylland
2017-12-18€200kFC Midtjylland
2018-06-02€350kFC Midtjylland
2018-08-22€4MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2018-12-18€3.5MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2019-06-05€3MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2019-12-17€1.5MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2020-04-08€1.3MAustria Vienna
2020-07-22€1MAustria Vienna
2021-02-10€1MAustria Vienna
2021-06-02€800kAustria Vienna
2021-12-15€600kFC Ingolstadt 04
2022-03-23€300kFC Ingolstadt 04
2022-06-16€300kFC Ingolstadt 04
2022-12-22€450kAalborg BK
2023-06-26€400kAalborg BK
2023-12-21€400kSilkeborg IF
2024-06-10€500kSilkeborg IF
2024-12-09€600kSilkeborg IF
2025-06-16€700kSilkeborg IF
2025-12-15€850kSilkeborg IF
2026-05-25€850kSilkeborg IF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.262

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 51% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€850kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 33% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€850kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Poulsen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).