FairValue

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Giovanni

González

RBUruguay · FC Krasnodar

№ 339699Established €1.5M +0.30

Player dossierPremier Liga

GiovanniGonzález

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
FC Krasnodar
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Uruguay
Age
31
Height
173 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values González at €2M. Model A, which never saw González during training, estimates €1.5M: the market value is 35% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.35. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €693k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.30A €1.5M▲ +1.06B €693k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
61
Minutes
3,468
Goals
0
Assists
4
Started
34/61
Min / app
57
Cards
11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for González…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €1.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Giovanni González's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 78th, Minutes, two years 61st, Starts 12th, Minutes, last 365 days 64th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals78thAssists61stMinutes12thStarts64thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.10 this player0.04 defender median78th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Aug 2015
Peak
€3M
Jun 2024
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
22
3 club changes
May 2026€2MFC KrasnodarValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, FC Krasnodar. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-08-14€100kCA River Plate Montevideo
2016-02-25€275kCA River Plate Montevideo
2016-09-09€300kCA River Plate Montevideo
2017-02-22€375kCA River Plate Montevideo
2018-02-05€450kCA Peñarol
2019-03-03€500kCA Peñarol
2020-01-06€1MCA Peñarol
2020-04-08€800kCA Peñarol
2021-01-02€1MCA Peñarol
2021-04-10€1MCA Peñarol
2021-06-11€1.7MCA Peñarol
2021-09-10€2MCA Peñarol
2022-01-01€2MCA Peñarol
2022-06-03€1.5MRCD Mallorca
2022-11-07€2MRCD Mallorca
2023-06-13€2MRCD Mallorca
2023-12-22€2.5MRCD Mallorca
2024-06-07€3MRCD Mallorca
2024-12-12€2.8MFC Krasnodar
2025-06-04€2.5MFC Krasnodar
2025-12-16€2.5MFC Krasnodar
2026-05-26€2MFC Krasnodar

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.298

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 65% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where González appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).