Tom
McIntyre
Player dossierPremiership
TomMcIntyre
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Aberdeen FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- Scotland
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values McIntyre at €500k. Model A, which never saw McIntyre during training, estimates €232k: the market value is 116% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.16. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €468k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 7
- Minutes
- 486
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 6/7
- Min / app
- 69
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for McIntyre…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
86% this player83% defender median57th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €500k
- Oct 2019
- Peak
- €2M
- Oct 2022
- Model target
- €500k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 17
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €500k, Aberdeen FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-10-17 | €500k | Reading FC |
| 2020-02-27 | €500k | Reading FC |
| 2020-04-08 | €450k | Reading FC |
| 2020-10-15 | €450k | Reading FC |
| 2021-03-10 | €700k | Reading FC |
| 2021-06-30 | €700k | Reading FC |
| 2021-11-24 | €700k | Reading FC |
| 2022-05-13 | €700k | Reading FC |
| 2022-09-14 | €1.8M | Reading FC |
| 2022-10-27 | €2M | Reading FC |
| 2023-06-01 | €1.8M | Reading FC |
| 2023-12-27 | €1.2M | Reading FC |
| 2024-06-28 | €800k | Portsmouth FC |
| 2024-12-30 | €650k | Portsmouth FC |
| 2025-06-18 | €600k | Portsmouth FC |
| 2025-11-26 | €500k | Bradford City |
| 2026-05-20 | €500k | Aberdeen FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.769
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 55% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 19% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where McIntyre appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- TavernierRBRangers FC · Premiership€500k
- KingsleyLBHeart of Midlothian FC · Premiership€500k
- BråtveitGKAberdeen FC · Premiership€500k
- O'HaraDMSt. Mirren FC · Premiership€500k
- DanteCBOGC Nice · defenders€500k
- SilvaCBFC Porto · defenders€500k
- VidaCBAEK Athens · defenders€500k
- NegoRBLe Havre AC · defenders€500k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).