FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Jiri

Letacek

GKCzech Republic · Getafe CF

№ 339079Established €812k +0.90

Player dossierLaLiga

JiriLetacek

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Getafe CF
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Czech Republic
Age
27
Height
196 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Letacek at €2M. Model A, which never saw Letacek during training, estimates €812k: the market value is 146% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.46. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €508k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.90A €812k▲ +1.37B €508k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
8
Minutes
810
Started
8/8
Min / app
101
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Letacek…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €812k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Jiri Letacek's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 12th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 13th, European club minutes 32nd12thMinutes62ndStarts13thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Dec 2016
Peak
€2M
Oct 2024
Model target
€2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
19
3 club changes
Jun 2026€2MGetafe CFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2M, Getafe CF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-12-01€25kFK Pardubice U19
2018-12-30€150kFK Pardubice
2019-06-25€200kFK Pardubice
2019-12-07€300kFK Pardubice
2020-07-10€300kFK Pardubice
2020-12-27€200kFK Pardubice
2021-06-25€300kFK Pardubice
2021-12-26€350kFK Pardubice
2022-06-22€300kFK Pardubice
2022-12-14€250kFC Banik Ostrava
2023-06-20€350kFC Banik Ostrava
2023-09-20€450kFC Banik Ostrava
2023-12-20€600kFC Banik Ostrava
2024-06-05€600kFC Banik Ostrava
2024-10-11€2MGetafe CF
2024-12-27€2MGetafe CF
2025-06-09€2MGetafe CF
2025-12-12€2MGetafe CF
2026-06-05€2MGetafe CF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.901

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 28% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 59% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Letacek appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).