Thibaud
Verlinden
LWBelgium · Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Player dossierPro League
ThibaudVerlinden
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven
- League
- Pro League
- Nationality
- Belgium
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 174 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Verlinden at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Verlinden during training, estimates €1.6M: the market value is 27% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.36. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 52
- Minutes
- 3,575
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 10
- Started
- 43/52
- Min / app
- 69
- Cards
- 7Y 1R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Verlinden…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
83% this player59% attacker median86th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €250k
- Aug 2017
- Peak
- €1.7M
- Oct 2024
- Model target
- €1.2M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 18
- 6 club changes
Jun 2026: €1.2M, Oud-Heverlee Leuven. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2017-08-16 | €250k | Stoke City U23 |
| 2018-01-22 | €250k | FC St. Pauli |
| 2018-06-19 | €250k | FC St. Pauli |
| 2020-02-27 | €250k | Stoke City |
| 2020-10-15 | €250k | Stoke City |
| 2021-05-19 | €250k | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2021-12-26 | €200k | DAC Dunajska Streda |
| 2022-06-23 | €250k | DAC Dunajska Streda |
| 2022-12-22 | €600k | Beerschot VA |
| 2023-05-30 | €700k | Beerschot VA |
| 2023-12-28 | €700k | Beerschot VA |
| 2024-06-20 | €1.3M | Beerschot VA |
| 2024-10-02 | €1.7M | Beerschot VA |
| 2024-12-11 | €1.7M | Beerschot VA |
| 2025-06-12 | €1.7M | Oud-Heverlee Leuven |
| 2025-10-01 | €1.2M | Oud-Heverlee Leuven |
| 2025-12-10 | €1.2M | Oud-Heverlee Leuven |
| 2026-06-04 | €1.2M | Oud-Heverlee Leuven |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.309
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Pro League350 players · median €1.8M
Valued above 34% of the 350 Pro League players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Verlinden appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- CoosemansGKRSC Anderlecht · Pro League€1.2M
- MrabtiAMKV Mechelen · Pro League€1.2M
- JackersGKClub Brugge KV · Pro League€1.2M
- HankouriAMStandard Liège · Pro League€1.2M
- SánchezSSSevilla FC · attackers€1.2M
- PerišićLWPSV Eindhoven · attackers€1.2M
- PortuRWGirona FC · attackers€1.2M
- BakambuCFReal Betis Balompié · attackers€1.2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).