FairValue

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Alessio

Iovine

RMItaly · Como 1907

№ 330472Emerging €738k −0.61

Player dossierSerie A

AlessioIovine

RMRight MidfieldMidfield

Club
Como 1907
League
Serie A
Nationality
Italy
Age
34
Height
174 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
17 Jun 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Iovine at €400k. Model A, which never saw Iovine during training, estimates €738k: the market value is 46% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.85. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €246k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.61A €738k▲ +0.49B €246k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
11
Minutes
472
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
4/11
Min / app
43
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Iovine…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €400kModel A €738k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Alessio Iovine's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 10th, Assists per 90 8th, Minutes, two years 1st, Starts 9th, Minutes, last 365 days 11th, European club minutes 30th10thGoals8thAssists1stMinutes9thStarts11thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% midfielder median30th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Aug 2014
Peak
€400k
Oct 2024
Model target
€400k
Jun 2025
Valuations
24
2 club changes
Jun 2025€400kComo 1907Valuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2025: €400k, Como 1907. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-08-01€100kAC Renate
2015-02-04€150kAC Renate
2015-06-19€200kAC Renate
2016-01-14€175kAC Renate
2016-06-15€175kAC Renate
2016-12-12€175kAS Giana Erminio
2017-06-20€250kAS Giana Erminio
2017-12-18€250kAS Giana Erminio
2018-06-19€275kAS Giana Erminio
2018-12-14€275kAS Giana Erminio
2019-06-20€300kAS Giana Erminio
2019-12-16€300kComo 1907
2020-06-16€250kComo 1907
2021-01-11€275kComo 1907
2021-06-21€350kComo 1907
2021-12-29€300kComo 1907
2022-06-06€250kComo 1907
2022-12-22€250kComo 1907
2023-06-12€250kComo 1907
2023-12-27€250kComo 1907
2024-06-03€250kComo 1907
2024-10-18€400kComo 1907
2024-12-18€400kComo 1907
2025-06-17€400kComo 1907

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.613

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 0% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 12% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€400kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Iovine appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).