FairValue

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Rasmus

Lauritsen

CBDenmark · Bröndby IF

№ 325994Emerging €1.1M −0.05

Player dossierSuperliga

RasmusLauritsen

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Bröndby IF
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
30
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Lauritsen at €1M. Model A, which never saw Lauritsen during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 5% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.05. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.05A €1.1M▼ −0.50B €1.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
29
Minutes
2,245
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
25/29
Min / app
77
Cards
5Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lauritsen…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Rasmus Lauritsen's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 50th, Minutes, two years 39th, Starts 59th, Minutes, last 365 days 31st, European club minutes 94th18thGoals50thAssists39thMinutes59thStarts31stRecent94thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

29% this player0% defender median94th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2015
Peak
€6.5M
Jun 2021
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
25
5 club changes
May 2026€1MBröndby IFValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, Bröndby IF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-09-02€50kFC Midtjylland
2016-01-25€50kSkive IK
2016-08-12€100kSkive IK
2016-12-12€100kSkive IK
2017-06-21€200kSkive IK
2017-12-18€250kVejle Boldklub
2018-06-07€350kVejle Boldklub
2018-12-21€400kVejle Boldklub
2019-06-28€600kIFK Norrköping
2019-11-20€1MIFK Norrköping
2020-04-08€800kIFK Norrköping
2020-08-05€1.2MIFK Norrköping
2020-12-10€2MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2020-12-28€3MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2021-06-10€6.5MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2021-12-30€5MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2022-06-06€5MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2022-11-08€4MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2023-06-26€3MBröndby IF
2023-12-21€2MBröndby IF
2024-06-10€2MBröndby IF
2024-12-09€2MBröndby IF
2025-06-16€1.7MBröndby IF
2025-12-15€1.5MBröndby IF
2026-05-25€1MBröndby IF

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.053

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 57% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 35% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Lauritsen appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).