Philip
Billing
CMDenmark · FC Midtjylland
Player dossierSuperliga
PhilipBilling
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- FC Midtjylland
- League
- Superliga
- Nationality
- Denmark
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 193 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 25 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Billing at €6M. Model A, which never saw Billing during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 328% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×4.28. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 49
- Minutes
- 2,670
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 30/49
- Min / app
- 54
- Cards
- 10Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Billing…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
26% this player0% midfielder median93rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Apr 2016
- Peak
- €22M
- Dec 2023
- Model target
- €6M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 29
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €6M, FC Midtjylland. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-04-20 | €100k | Huddersfield Town |
| 2016-09-01 | €100k | Huddersfield Town |
| 2017-02-27 | €350k | Huddersfield Town |
| 2017-06-28 | €500k | Huddersfield Town |
| 2017-08-16 | €1M | Huddersfield Town |
| 2018-01-02 | €1M | Huddersfield Town |
| 2018-05-28 | €2.5M | Huddersfield Town |
| 2018-10-17 | €6M | Huddersfield Town |
| 2018-12-19 | €7M | Huddersfield Town |
| 2019-06-13 | €7M | Huddersfield Town |
| 2019-09-12 | €15M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2019-12-10 | €18M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2020-04-08 | €14.5M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2020-10-15 | €10M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2020-12-22 | €8M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2021-03-10 | €8M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2021-06-30 | €10M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2021-11-24 | €16M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2022-05-13 | €18M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2022-11-03 | €18M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2023-06-20 | €20M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2023-12-19 | €22M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2024-05-27 | €22M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2024-10-01 | €18M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2024-12-16 | €14M | AFC Bournemouth |
| 2025-03-25 | €12M | SSC Napoli |
| 2025-06-17 | €10M | SSC Napoli |
| 2025-12-15 | €7M | FC Midtjylland |
| 2026-05-25 | €6M | FC Midtjylland |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.453
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Superliga256 players · median €800k
Joint 8th highest observed value among 256 Superliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 69% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Billing appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SørensenCBFC Midtjylland · Superliga€6M
- ArnstadLWAarhus GF · Superliga€6M
- HuescasRBFC Copenhagen · Superliga€6M
- PereiraCBFC Copenhagen · Superliga€6M
- CasemiroDMManchester United · midfielders€6M
- SabitzerCMBorussia Dortmund · midfielders€6M
- AndrichDMBayer 04 Leverkusen · midfielders€6M
- PašalićCMAtalanta BC · midfielders€6M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).