FairValue

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Vasiliy

Cherov

RBRussia · Fakel Voronezh

№ 300146Emerging €280k +0.68

Player dossierPremier Liga

VasiliyCherov

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Fakel Voronezh
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
29
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Cherov at €550k. Model A, which never saw Cherov during training, estimates €280k: the market value is 97% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.97. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €474k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.68A €280k▲ +0.15B €474k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
13
Minutes
963
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
12/13
Min / app
74
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cherov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €550k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €550kModel A €280k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Vasiliy Cherov's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 85th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 11th, Starts 77th, Minutes, last 365 days 1st, European club minutes 30th85thGoals17thAssists11thMinutes77thStarts1stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.09 this player0.03 defender median85th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€125k
Aug 2015
Peak
€700k
Dec 2023
Model target
€550k
Dec 2025
Valuations
22
10 club changes
Dec 2025€550kFakel VoronezhValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €550k, Fakel Voronezh. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-08-25€125kFC Krasnodar 2
2016-01-23€150kFC Krasnodar 2
2016-07-01€150kFC Khimki
2016-12-02€150kFC Krasnodar 2
2017-06-01€150kFC Krasnodar 2
2018-06-06€200kAfips Afipskiy (-2018)
2018-12-20€200kDruzhba Maikop
2019-06-14€175kDruzhba Maikop
2019-12-23€175kChernomorets Novorossijsk
2020-06-29€175kUrozhay Krasnodar
2020-12-29€250kKuban Krasnodar
2021-05-24€250kFakel Voronezh
2021-09-15€325kFakel Voronezh
2021-12-07€450kFakel Voronezh
2022-05-30€500kFakel Voronezh
2022-11-21€500kFakel Voronezh
2023-06-14€500kFakel Voronezh
2023-12-13€700kFakel Voronezh
2024-06-04€700kFakel Voronezh
2024-12-04€600kChernomorets Novorossijsk
2025-06-02€450kChernomorets Novorossijsk
2025-12-03€550kFakel Voronezh

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.677

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 18% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€550kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 22% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€550kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Cherov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).